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A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image depicts Bolivian trade unionists on strike in La Paz, Bolivia.


Long preamble/summary below of recent news events.

summaryThe Iran ceasefire is grinding on. After a brief period over the weekend of heightened activity where it seemed that US strikes might be resuming, Trump announced a "Memorandum of Understanding" with Iran, which initially appeared to be an agreement along Iran's demands.

For those not following along with the diplomatic minutia, Iran's position for several weeks has been that the nuclear issue must be discussed separately - because, well, last time they started discussing the nuclear issue with the US, they got fucking bombed - and so have proposed a two-stage negotiation where the war is first officially ended with certain preconditions (e.g. the US has to end sanctions and unfreeze assets and presumably withdraw at least some military assets), and then the second stage will begin in which the nuclear issue is handled.

The reason why a deal has still not been signed after all this time is because the US disagrees with doing it this way, and wants the nuclear issue to be handled right away (and obviously also objects with things like Iran retaining control of the Strait). Therefore, Trump's announcement appeared to be him finally accepting reality, but it quickly became apparent that this was just another market manipulation. I'm definitely in the camp among several other analysts that believes another round of war is going to happen barring some very sudden circumstances (e.g. Trump being forced out of power one way or another, or Iran obtaining a nuke) because the US still seems agreement-incapable. And in Lebanon, consternation for the Zionists against Hezbollah's attacks continues as the FPV drone threat only continues to increase despite them desperately seeking countermeasures.

As I've been perhaps too focussed on Iran lately, here's a brief roundup of big news events from the last month or so.

  • Orban losing power: Pretty cool, though his replacement being Neoliberal #2980329891 means that big changes seem unlikely.

  • Strikes in Bolivia against that dipshit Paz: Very nice to see, as it appears that Bolivia has among the best widespread on-the-ground popular support for worker-centric policies and politicians in Latin America that makes it so they can genuinely pressure power (already, the Labor Minister has resigned).

  • Situation in the Sahel: "Mysterious" third parties sponsored a big offensive against the AES which they largely repelled with help from Russia. The situation there is still a little tenuous as I understand it with a greater focus by anti-government forces on blockades of cities to cause internal revolts. This tactic is currently broadly failing as armed convoys are getting fuel and food into the cities, but figures like Traore are aware that more needs to be done.

  • Ukraine War: Aside from the usual grinding advance by Russia on the front, there have been back-and-forth missile and drone strikes as Ukraine hit some targets in the outskirts of Moscow with drones and then Russia fired a shitload of missiles, including the iconic Oreshnik, directly at Kiev, as Simplicius and others have covered in greater detail.

I could go on and on with the recent aggressions against Cuba, Modi's recent victories in India and the AI/chip tech war between China and the US but this preamble has to end at some point due to the character limit.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 2 points 58 minutes ago

"Israel sent 2 guys to my house to offer me an envelope with 500 dollars so that I would stop investigating their crimes in Palestine. Later, the head of the Mossad, Yossi Cohen, threatened me and my family so that I would stop investigating Israel."

Fatou Bensouda, former chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court, denounces the threats and the bribery attempt that "Israel" made to her so that she would stop investigating its crimes in Palestine.

https://x.com/DaniMayakovski/status/2059495213261840428

[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 3 points 1 hour ago

https://xcancel.com/OlgaBazova/status/2059927583840428175

The main importer of Russian gas to the EU last month was not Hungary or Slovakia, but France, which purchased LNG worth 413 million euros (+13% compared to March). Belgium also made it to the top (363 million euros). But sanctions...

[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 6 points 1 hour ago

https://xcancel.com/BabakTaghvaee1/status/2059714441311051921

The number of AGM-158B JASSM-ER stand-off weapons (stealth cruise missiles) employed by the U.S. Air Force and U.S. Navy during the recent war in Iran was enormous. These missiles were used so extensively that debris and remains of them can now be found across various parts of Iran, including this example discovered near the city of Arak in Markazi Province. The scale of their use has contributed to a major depletion of U.S. stockpiles, to the point that the Pentagon has now ordered 4,300 additional AGM-158-series missiles for the U.S. Armed Forces.

[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 14 points 2 hours ago

https://xcancel.com/MenchOsint/status/2059867702018093553

⭕️ The IRGC targeted an US airbase in Kuwait in response to recent US violations of the ceasefire. "Following the early morning attack today by the invading US army on a point near Bandar Abbas airport with aerial projectiles, the American airbase, as the origin of the aggression, was targeted at 4h50 AM." As expected again, the US was trying to quietly escort Oil Tankers.

[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 8 points 2 hours ago

A good start.

As expected again, the US was trying to quietly escort Oil Tankers.

Though this raises the question of did the escorted oil tankers get through? Because if they got through and Iran didn't take out any planes or expensive and hard to replace equipment at the base (targeted /=/ succeeded in doing damage) then it's a success from the US point of view and will encourage them trying to up the ante in doing more of this. Iran's response must be sufficiently deterring not just performative.

From the US perspective they just have to neutralize Iran's ability to see into the strait to police it so that say 80-95% of ships trying to get through under cover of darkness can get through. Because the alternatives of trying to suppress Iran's fire totally isn't possible at this point and leaving the strait under their control is clearly unacceptable. Shooting down drones and bombing coastal sites is of course part of this hope. They don't even have to leave Iran unable to observe the strait 24/7. They just have to selectively neutralize their ability to do so while escorting oil tanker convoys through. And they don't have to get trade back to normal levels either as higher prices do benefit American energy companies and shortages hurt American competitors and the global south. And as long as the US is escorting like this they have a gun to the heads of the comprador gulf regimes that allows them to dictate where those ships they're getting through ultimately go which means a way to attack China, the global south, etc.

[-] DasRav@hexbear.net 6 points 1 hour ago

My take is this: Oil tankers are slow as fuck and they don't have to immediately hit them as they go through the straight. they hit the last one when it had gone well past. NO sense having burning tankers in the actual straight, when they can burn just as well in the Indian ocean.

[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 6 points 1 hour ago

Last ceasefire violation's tanker did get hit: https://xcancel.com/MenchOsint/status/2059270941016785182

Even if a tanker did get through though, I don't think we can count it as that much of a success - a trickle of individual tankers isn't going to uncrash the economy, and the continued deployment of the US Navy is attriting them with each day. American energy companies profiting by exporting all the energy needed to run the actual US economy at home is hardly a good thing for the empire.

[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 4 points 1 hour ago* (last edited 1 hour ago)

Most El Nino prediction models are blowing out the extended Y axis on the chart, time to extend it again!

[-] SexUnderSocialism@hexbear.net 6 points 1 hour ago
[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 4 points 1 hour ago

Some parts of the world should receive some rain in the short term because of changing weather patterns, but overall this is not good news. 2C warming should be here (say it with me) sooner than expected.

[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 28 points 7 hours ago* (last edited 7 hours ago)

In Bolivia, power outages in the Trópico of Cochabamba as part of sabotage orchestrated by the Rodrigo Paz government to destabilize the area and facilitate the abduction of former President Evo Morales, in a coordinated operation between the Bolivian government and the U.S.

Update: Power has been restored.

[-] Chana@hexbear.net 16 points 5 hours ago

This might be an unironic protracted people's war opportunity.

[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 27 points 7 hours ago

Brazilian Congress approves in two rounds the end of the 6x1 work schedule with a maximum work week of 40 hours. The proposal now goes to the Federal Senate. - Brazilian Congress

Article

The Chamber of Deputies approved, in two rounds of voting, the Proposed Amendment to the Constitution (PEC) that establishes a 40-hour work week over five days with two days off, ending the 6 x 1 schedule (one day off and 44 hours per week). The text provides for a transition period and specific laws to address certain career paths.

PEC 221/19 was approved in the second round with 461 votes in favor and 19 against . In the first round, there were 472 votes in favor and 22 against .

The text that will go to the Senate is a substitute proposed by Representative Leo Prates (Republicanos-BA) for the proposed constitutional amendment (PEC) by Representative Reginaldo Lopes (Workers' Party), which provided for a 36-hour work week, and for PEC 8/25 ,by Representative Érika Hilton (Socialism and Freedom Party), which provided for the same work week over four days.

According to the text, the reduction in weekly working hours will be without a reduction in salary, and there will be a transition to reach 40 hours.

Two months after the publication of the future constitutional amendment, the two paid days off per week will already be in effect, one of which should preferably be on Sundays.

Also starting from that date, workers registered under the Consolidation of Labor Laws (CLT) will have a weekly workload of 42 hours.

One year after the end of those two months, therefore 14 months after the enactment, the work week will be 40 hours.

During this one-year period, a collective bargaining agreement or labor agreement may extend the normal daily working hours (beyond 8 hours per day) to facilitate the transition to 42 hours, while respecting the two days of paid rest.

Minimum wage:

The PEC guarantees that the 8-hour workday and 40-hour workweek with two days off will be applied to existing employment contracts without any reduction in salary, whether nominal, proportional, or of any other kind. The maintenance of the salary will also apply to minimum wages.

However, there are exceptions provided for in the PEC itself, such as for holders of a higher education degree who earn more than 2.5 times the Social Security ceiling (currently equivalent to R$ 21,188.87) and for outsourced workers in labor contracts with the public administration.

Differentiated work schedules

Although the PEC guarantees minimum parameters (40 hours and two days of rest), it allows ordinary laws to establish conditions and hypotheses for differentiated work schedules, respecting these limits and the possibility of uninterrupted six-hour rotating shifts.

For cases such as the 12x36 shift schedule and essential activities in health, security, transportation, urban cleaning, and others, collective bargaining agreements or conventions may, exceptionally, provide for a compensation scheme to ensure, on average, two paid weekly rest days within the calendar month.

Thus, weekly days off could be accumulated to be taken at another time during the month, ensuring that at least one of the days is after a week of work.

Fewer hours:

The change will not imply a proportional reduction in working hours already set at 40 hours or less per week, and workers will also be entitled to two paid days off per week.

Another point that will take effect two months after the publication of the future constitutional amendment is the loss of validity of clauses in collective agreements and conventions regarding working hours and paid weekly rest that are incompatible with the new standard.

Microentrepreneur:

As a result of negotiations surrounding the text, Representative Leo Prates incorporated a provision to refer the definition of transitional rules to a supplementary law, in order to lessen the impact of the change on individual microentrepreneurs (MEIs), micro-enterprises, and small businesses.

Although not explicitly stated in the text, the idea is that MEIs (Individual Microentrepreneurs) will be able to hire two employees instead of one, as is currently permitted. The government has also agreed to adjust the eligibility criteria for MEIs, micro and small businesses under the Simples Nacional (Simplified National Tax System).

The proposed amendment states that these measures will be conditional on maintaining employment levels.

Without Limits

Under the argument that it will discourage "pejotização" (hiring workers as legal entities), Prates proposes that the constitutional rules on working hours (40 hours per week and 8 hours per day) and on work schedule control should not be applied to employees with a higher education degree who receive more than 2.5 times the Social Security ceiling, which today would be equivalent to R$ 21,188.87 (R$ 8,475.55 ceiling).

The exception would be at the employer's discretion (if they so wish) or if provided for in a collective bargaining agreement or convention.

The two days of paid rest per week must be observed, and the new rule will not apply to public employees of the direct and indirect administration of any of the branches of the Union, the states, the Federal District, and the municipalities. The Labor Courts will process and judge actions related to this rule.

Since this rule comes into effect immediately after the publication of the constitutional amendment, existing contracts should be adapted, potentially implying work schedules exceeding 44 hours per week if there is no collective agreement or convention for a specific career path.

Outsourcing:

In order to avoid an immediate impact on existing outsourced labor contracts in the direct and indirect administration of federative entities, the text conditions the change to 42 hours and then to 40 hours, according to the transition, on an addendum to the contract between the labor supply company and the administration. This would maintain the economic and financial balance of the contract.

The addendum must occur within one year of the publication of the future amendment and involves contracts governed by legislation on bidding and administrative contracts (security and cleaning personnel, for example), concessions and permits for public services and works (airport administrators or highway concessionaires, for example), public-private partnerships, and other instruments of collaboration with the private sector (social organizations, for example).

All these workers will be guaranteed no reduction in wages, and if the contract amendment is not finalized within the stipulated timeframe, the reductions in the weekly working hours to 42 and 40 hours will apply regardless.

If the contractual change is implemented within the specified timeframe, the new work schedule will be effective from the date of its formalization.

Therefore, contracts that are reformulated in the first two months after the publication of the future amendment must provide for the reduction to 42 hours foreseen in the transition and the paid rest period of two days per week.

Erika Santos Silva, known as Erika Hilton (born 9 December 1992), is a Brazilian politician and activist for black and LGBT rights. Hilton studied teaching and gerontology before entering politics.

Affiliated to the Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL), in the 2020 elections, she gained national and international notice by becoming the first openly transgender councilor elected to the Municipal Chamber of São Paulo, receiving the most votes for any councilor in the country.

In 2022, she and Duda Salabert became the first two openly transgender people elected to the National Congress of Brazil, with both of them elected to its Chamber of Deputies. Hilton was honored as one of the BBC 100 Women in December 2022. During her parliamentary term, she opposed the Shielding Amendment (Designed to severely restrict criminal investigations and lawsuits against members of Congress) and has fought in favor of the Amendment to End the 6x1 Scale a proposal she co-authored with deputy Reginaldo Lopes (Workers' Party).

[-] P1d40n3@hexbear.net 65 points 11 hours ago

https://t.me/stayfreeworld/66311

America has struck Iran again. I understand wanting to not fight during Eid and Hajj, but surely this is an unacceptable escalation.

[-] InexplicableLunchFiend@hexbear.net 12 points 4 hours ago

Seems like the imperialists hit Iran on every sacred day and holiday

[-] immuredanchorite@hexbear.net 29 points 8 hours ago

so like, is the ceasefire over? seems unrealistic that Iran would let this go without hitting back hard… right?

[-] aanes_appreciator@hexbear.net 4 points 2 hours ago* (last edited 1 hour ago)

Lmao like come on. At least say the strait is closed again but nah Iran is showing its strategic weakness with this compliance.

EDIT: They've struck Kuwait, but this is still a poor response somilar to the kayfabe qatar strike.

[-] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 55 points 11 hours ago

NYT - For the second time in three days, American forces conducted what a U.S. official said were self-defense strikes in southern Iran on Wednesday. The U.S. knocked down four one-way attack drones that the official said Iran launched over the Strait of Hormuz threatening U.S. forces in the region and what little commercial maritime traffic is going through the strait that Iran has effectively blockaded.

The military then conducted airstrikes against a drone ground control station in Bandar Abbas before it could fire a fifth drone, said the U.S. official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss operational matters.

[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 16 points 6 hours ago* (last edited 6 hours ago)

Exactly as many said. The US has no intention of upholding the ceasefire, the zionist entity isn't even pretending at all unlike the US who is pretending a little.

The whole point is to strategize, have all the CIA and similar go over Iran with a fine-toothed comb, and find weak-points and targets they believe they can hit to bring down Iranian control of the strait and hit them hard. It's a resting period during which the empire doesn't have to freak out about running out of interceptors and either allowing their proxies including the zionist entity to be pummeled (and forcing the entity to use its own stocks of interceptors). It allows them a breather and to salami-slice against Iran who given their past deals and restraint the empire smells as weak and unwilling to resume fighting and we'll see if they're right. I hope they aren't but I'm not holding my breath either as there is a big belief even on this website that you can't look bad to the global north populations by allowing the empire to portray you as breaking the ceasefire despite them clearly doing so first. I mean Lebanon alone is undeniable. So hopefully Iran gets things going again soon or at least isn't willing to wait too long.

Lebanese resistance forces destroyed another Merkava tank while repelling Zionist attacks today in southern Lebanon:

https://thecradle.co/articles/Hezbollah-battles-at-zero-distance-with-invading-Israeli%20troops-thwarts-attempts-to-expand-occupation-of-Lebanon

[-] SickSemper@hexbear.net 73 points 14 hours ago* (last edited 14 hours ago)

Hezbollah editors excited to see cows before striking an anti air system

https://t.me/HezbollahMirror/16445

[-] a_party_german@hexbear.net 5 points 3 hours ago

Hezbollah editors excited to see cows

I'd be more excited about them finally switching out that fake Hans Zimmer track theyve been using in every single video FOR OVER TWO YEARS NOW

[-] Aradino@hexbear.net 28 points 11 hours ago
[-] SickSemper@hexbear.net 33 points 11 hours ago

Yes, the pilot seems to have been doing recon, spots the cows, and then flies to another site to detonate. Cows unharmed

[-] Abracadaniel@hexbear.net 43 points 13 hours ago

Relatable. This is a propaganda w

[-] SickSemper@hexbear.net 38 points 12 hours ago

The quality of media Hezbollah is putting out now is miles ahead of their support front during Al-aqsa flood, which was already solid. Now they’re being funny too? The end of the entity must be near

[-] iByteABit@hexbear.net 29 points 12 hours ago

Damn they're so cool waow-based

[-] tocopherol@hexbear.net 39 points 14 hours ago* (last edited 14 hours ago)

Is there any way to view these without telegram? They are often too big, I want to see the cows kitty-cri-screm

[-] SickSemper@hexbear.net 39 points 14 hours ago* (last edited 14 hours ago)

You basically have to wait for Jon Elmer or southfront to post them, atm telegram is the only source I’ve found

Have more cows as an apology

[-] tocopherol@hexbear.net 22 points 11 hours ago
[-] Enjoyer_of_Games@hexbear.net 31 points 13 hours ago

ahh I can't stay mad at you

[-] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 67 points 14 hours ago* (last edited 14 hours ago)

Donald "The JOKESTER" Trump

NYT - President Trump on Wednesday warned the Gulf state of Oman, a U.S. ally, not to enter into any agreement with Iran to share control of the Strait of Hormuz or else face an American bombing campaign. Quickly after making the threat, Mr. Trump said he didn’t believe the United States would have to take such an action. “Oman will behave just like everybody else, or we’ll have to blow them up,” he said during a cabinet meeting, responding to a reporter’s question about the strait. “They understand that. They’ll be fine.”

Iran has discussed partnering with Oman in a system charging fees for vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz, ignoring the Trump administration’s warnings against demands for payment to pass through the critical international waterway. Mr. Trump said there would be serious repercussions should the two countries agree to move forward with such a deal.

“The strait is going to be open to everybody,” he said. “Nobody’s going to control it. We’re going to watch over it. We’ll watch over it, but nobody’s going to control it.” Oman’s foreign ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The United States and Israel attacked Iran on Feb. 28, starting a monthslong war that spread to neighboring countries. In response, Iran closed the strait, a key passageway for global commerce, rocking the financial markets.

Despite talks about a potential deal to quickly reopen the strait, the likelihood of a swift diplomatic breakthrough seemed dim Wednesday after the United States and Iran ratcheted up hostilities this week.

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