Israeli strikes hit civilian areas as usual, Sidon, Lebanon

https://files.catbox.moe/51ft2f.MP4

Several videos documenting impacts in Kiryat Shmona

https://tankie.tube/w/uqoyBVcHspBHzJRey1DGKC

https://tankie.tube/w/4V7WNnXFTLJYS6LnZiXsZU

https://tankie.tube/w/kFf9R4RjBAdVuJf6pbTYXm

https://tankie.tube/w/v6HueQKiHYque3QC3Ci1TR

https://www.middleeasteye.net/explainers/israel-war-lebanon-what-arms-hezbollah-have

A detail-light breakdown of the main equipment being used right now (drones, rockets, short and medium range missiles, and ballistic missiles). When thinking about the ranges, keep in mind the current depth Hezbollah seems to be attacking is roughly up to 80 km from the border, and “israeli” censorship begins at Haifa, roughly 80 km from the border. This depth is Hezbollah’s escalation ladder. Incredibly, they also seem to have found a Western military professor with eyes, who comments “…the Hezbollah threat [is] one that Israel cannot destroy militarily.”

https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/three-carriers-simultaneously-china

A description of PLAN deployments in its own waters. The ocean surface isn’t the only thing getting hotter in the East Pacific. For those who don’t like ship details, it’s worth noting that Kuznetsov class carriers are really missile cruisers with a flight deck. The titular Russian vessel has anti-air, anti-missile, and anti-submarine defenses as well as 12 anti-ship cruise missiles and 24 8-missile Kinzhal batteries. The USamerican Nimitz class super carrier (which admittedly has a larger flight deck) has anti-air and anti-missile batteries, and no offensive armaments. Presumably, the Chinese have their own missile systems. There is one US carrier group asea in the Pacific, and i think it’s leaving through the Straits of Malacca. Always a good time to drill and train your ships when the enemy isn’t there.

https://www.labornotes.org/2024/09/strike-threat-wins-boarding-and-retro-pay-american-airlines

A little positive news about successful labor action. Every time i’ve been to LAX since 2021 or so, there has been a billboard about labor action on Howard Hughes (the main drag that we must sit in traffic before entering the airport where we sit in traffic). Covid kind of ravaged them, but there seems to be more and more airline related labor action. While the pilots, flight attendants, and transit workers are not necessarily radical unions, every win for labor lets the snowball roll forward. The reputation shift of unions is not because of messaging, it’s because of results. Good to get in the last hits before Trump or Harris guts the NLRB (which is doing pretty good under this admin, exceptionally critical support with an eye to past betrayals).

https://gordonhahn.com/2024/09/22/a-river-runs-through-the-end-of-the-nato-russia-ukrainian-war/

An article discussing the future significance of the Dnieper as a defensive line in the SMO. The naked capitalism discussion linked is a good one, about how much of Ukraine is flat and so its water systems are based on pumps and dams. This means that to achieve one of its war aims (fresh water access to Crimea), Russia will need to ensure Kiev does not dump raw sewage upstream. The least desirable option there is having Ukraine (or whatever) control Kiev, and Russia has to rebuild infrastructure. Actually taking Kiev is its own can of worms. The most effective and somewhat heartless option is the Russians continue to focus on power infrastructure. This is necessary for heating and water, especially as we enter northern hemisphere Autumn. Without power, the population density that can be supported is very low. This will cause refugee flows west, but i have also seen estimates that Ukraine has already lost half of its pre-war population. War is tragic.

https://splash247.com/91-hours-left-to-avert-supply-chain-mayhem-in-the-us/

An article about an imminent (October 1st) strike by the International Longshoremen’s Association. This sounds really cool, and the US Chamber of Commerce seems very concerned. Keep in mind the ILA has pledged that cruise ships and military deliveries will not be affected by the strike. If this does happen, expect oil and gas to go nuts. The biggest hubs for oil and gas are on the Gulf Coast, and the majority of Liquid Natural Gas terminals and capacity are also there. If the US cannot export natural gas to Europe, then the EU might be forced to reach the negotiating table before NATO (more realistically they further set their economies on fire voluntarily).

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/asia/chinese-and-russian-firms-among-first-foreign-investors-indonesias-new-capital-nusantara-building-projects-4639486

An article about BRICS+ investment in the construction of Nusantara. For those unaware, Indonesia has been looking to replace Jakarta as the capital for decades, and the plan has been moving forward now that part of the city is below sea level. In theory, this will be an opportunity to correct for the poor sanitation, overcrowding, bad traffic, lack of green spaces, flooding, and depleted ground water of the much older and organically developed Jakarta. The new capital is being built on the east coast of Borneo. Hopefully, basic infrastructure gets more money than hotels and luxury secondary schools, though i do understand that the latter things make for better news articles.

Rockets in sky, upper galillee

https://tankie.tube/w/j49LErUar7p16tVbc1kj2H

Hamas ambush column of Merkava tanks and bulldozers

https://tankie.tube/w/mT7jpZt5z4RkS183XbbYTZ

John and Matt got a new episode of Radio War Nerd up talking about Nasrallah about an hour ago. Jus tstarrting it right now.

Edmundo Gonzelez is still hiding in Spain, we will see if the US will pull a Guaido 2.0 or just forget this ever happened lol. Also it seems like Marisabel de Chavez (Hugo Chavez second ex-wife) is still a member of PSUV and supporter of Maduro, despite her critics towards the goverment.

A discussion of what seem to be Zelensky’s future diplomatic plans. The author, Mr. Bhadrakumar, is a professional diplomat who writes about foreign affairs, but he is not a Marxist. He talks about Zelensky’s continued purge and the three point plan he intends to present to Biden. To the second half of the article, some milbloggers think Zelensky’s plan is an intentional over-ask. Zelensky will get his ‘betarayal’ from the West, and pivot to negotiations and conceding the status quo, at least. With that possibility in mind, the first part of the article suggests that perhaps Zelensky is legitimately trying to break with the CIA. They’re certainly not the only people in Ukraine credibly threatening Zelensky’s life. https://www.indianpunchline.com/zelenskys-victory-plan-is-his-survival-kit/

An exclusive report on electronic warfare measures affecting commercial flights. GPS spoofing is affecting airlines around the world (but only people in the West could be reached for comment). Companies, regulators, and pilots are split on what to do. It’s worth noting that as flying gets more stressful or dangerous, there are already major pilot shortages in USamerica from Covid, expensive training, and mandatory retirement at 65. The Wall Street Journal does produce original journalism. Their ideology is known. Functional air travel is in the interests of everyone, especially journalists. i did not read the comments and i don’t think people should. https://archive.md/RztnK

A very good analysis of Mexico-USA-China relations. It is quite long. It goes over AMLO’s judicial reform and the USA attempts to stifle it. The DEA are doing what, in another country, one might call “election interference”. In response, AMLO has been talking more with China. On the liberal/ diplomatic side of things, there are a lot of statements from diplomats, which are nice to read because sometimes i forget what real diplomacy sounds like. On the material side of things, it’s worth noting most Mexican imports from China are to be either assembled and then shipped to the USA or to be shipped to the USA to dodge tariffs. Mexico and China are the two largest exporters to the USA, and are competing to sell products. On the other hand, the USA has no answer or equivalent to the Belt and Road Initiative. A transoceanic railway link from the Gulf to the Pacific could compete with the Panama Canal, and all of the investment in it is Chinese. Chinese cars and electronics are gaining market share, and BYD is promising a dealership in every state and one factory, somewhere. The article concludes with a quote from Forbes Mexico, which really shows how outrageous recent USamerican actions have been. It is a further example of USamerican arrogance in the face of a changing world. When confronted with things not going as they plan or desire, they can never adjust the plan or cooperate. The ruling class of these times can only reach to violence, tariffs, and threats. https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2024/09/beijing-and-mexico-focus-on-deepening-cooperation-as-bilateral-trade-surges-to-record-levels.html

Follow for more stories of success.

Poverty surges by 11 points under Milei, hitting 53%

According to the INDEC, a record 25 million Argentines are poor while the number of destitute doubled to 5.3 million in the past six months

A government report published on Thursday afternoon revealed that an average of 52.9% of Argentines were poor in the first half of the year and 18.1% were destitute. It is the country’s highest poverty rate in 20 years.

The numbers, released by the INDEC statistic bureau, show that in the first six months since President Javier Milei took office, poverty grew by 11.2 points and destitution by 6.2. That means 5.1 million Argentines fell into poverty in that time, amounting to 25 million poor people in total. Meanwhile, the report revealed a total of 8.3 million destitute Argentines: almost double the number in the first half of 2023. The 11-point increase in the span of six months is a historic one — poverty increased by six points throughout Alberto Fernández’s presidency.

Roughly two-thirds (66.1%) of children between 0 and 14 years old live in poverty, according to the INDEC’s numbers. An August report by UNICEF found that one million Argentine children skipped meals daily because their families could not afford food. Meanwhile, those over 65 years old went from 17.6% poverty in the second half of 2023 to 29.7% in the first half of 2024. The highest poverty numbers were found in the Northeast and the Northwest of the country, with 62.9% and 57%, respectively.

The INDEC considers a family “destitute” when their monthly income is less than the basic food basket. A family is considered to be in poverty if they earn less than the basic food basket plus services, known as the total basic basket.

A report by the Center of Argentine Political Economy (CEPA), published after the INDEC released their numbers, said that food inflation in the first half of the year was 9.4%, higher than the first half of 2023, when the number was 7.7%.

“As food prices determine the levels of the basic food basket and, to a large extent, of the total basic basket, a significant increase in food inflation implies upward pressures on the incidence rate of destitution and, in part, of poverty,” the report said.

The CEPA report added that unemployment rose to 7.6% in the first half of 2024, meaning one percentage point more than the first half of 2023. It added that the minimum retirement pension fell by 19.7% during the same time periods. At the beginning of the month, Milei vetoed a pension reform that would have put their minimum value just over the poverty line.

The Presidential Office has yet to comment on the significant increase in poverty. However, at 4:00 p.m., coinciding with the INDEC’s report, the president’s sister and General Secretary Karina Milei posted a picture of herself, her Bernese mountain dog Thor, and TV personality Susana Giménez. Videos of the president with Giménez on the Casa Rosada balcony surfaced on social media shortly afterward and were met with considerable backlash. A spokesperson for the office said that Manuel Adorni would address the issue on Friday in his usual press conference.

Death to "anarcho" capitalism

Death to "israel"

View of missiles from Haifa

https://files.catbox.moe/z074pi.mp4

Rockets over Shefa Amr

https://files.catbox.moe/5yuxsq.mp4

Sky over Acre

https://files.catbox.moe/bki8t5.mp4

Fed accounts have switched to "there will be no statement from Hezbollah about Nasrallah today"

I think he's alive. The story is getting shifty.

https://www.kitklarenberg.com/p/british-intels-counter-disinfo-war

A article about how parts of the British intelligence community are seen as experts in mis- and dis-information, and how they are now exporting their experience. There is some detail about intelligence interacting with social media. The discussion is rooted in a leaked slideshow from an intelligence meeting in 2021. The exact way the author talks about the Biden admin’s Covid “censorship push” sets off my personal crank alarm, but the analysis of the leaked slideshow is not affected by this. Saying ‘counter-disinformation’ instead of propaganda might be a rehash of changing the ‘department of war’ to ‘defense’. Sir Kid Starver and many of his Red Tory compatriots are actual, factual MI6 assets. Czechoslovakian Internal Ministry documents from the Cold War had a whole file on the then-Mr. Starver. It’s also known that the British are more gung-ho about Ukraine than the US, and also that the Ukraine project was CIA before it was NATO. You can almost see the shades of our future where a need for internal security and countering Russian influence can only be entrusted to apolitical, non-partisan intelligence experts. See also the USAF intelligence general sending out an email requiring all federal and state candidates to agree to uphold election integrity as decided by the intelligence community.

https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/japan-says-it-received-no-advance-notice-of-chinas-intercontinental-ballistic-missile-launch/3340804

A short article about Japan rattling sabers over the PLA testing an ICBM. The article is from the Anadolu Agency, a news site from Türkiye with a logo that looks exactly like American Airlines. It’s Turkish bourgeois media, but Türkiye is trying to join BRICS+, so we might see reporting contrary to Western spin. Even if China informed every possible party and followed international law, the more important fact is that Japan is rapidly rearming under US encouragement (and, i believe, some popular discontent with militarizing). Every statement made now is building up a raft of ‘provocations’ and ‘lines crossed’ and ‘aggression’ for whenever the USA decides it wants a war in East Asia. See also the Philippines ‘accidentally’ having Typhoon missiles left in their country after exercises with the USA.

Mexico BFTO Spain's king from Claudia's inaguration for not acknowledging their colonial oppressive past.

Helene chomp chomp Florida beaches.