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submitted 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

Image is allegedly of the note Trump wrote while editing a speech while on the way back from the G20 summit.


The top Russian-Chinese agent, Donald Trump, has decided that the pace of dedollarization and the decline of American financial hegemony is going too slowly. He has therefore decided to put tariffs on everybody; from America's largest trading partners to uninhabited islands. In the process, he is trying to create an autarkic America. Jokes aside, interpretation and analysis of this has ranged across a wide spectrum. I think we can broadly agree that the most idiotic are the "true believers"; those that actually believe Trump's every word, and that this will somehow bring back American manufacturing and whatever other inane promises he has made.

However, there is a much more interesting debate. The first camp are those who believe Trump is acting as an inadvertent accelerationist due to his lack of understanding about how the world economy and dollar hegemony functions (and that this will subsequently ensure that countries flock to China instead). The second camp are those who believe that Trump does know what he's doing, at least to a certain extent, and that the effective result of this period of madness will be countries kowtowing to the United States; renegotiating trade deals to be even more in favor of the US in order to get tariffs reduced. There's even a yet more cynical camp who believes that in fact, this entire trade war is just theater for further national wealth redistributions from poor to rich; that all these monumental international trade wars are more of a sideshow. To quote the linked article: "[...] out of the mountain of tariffs that threaten to turn into a global trade war will emerge the mouse of further tax cuts."

I'm not embarrassed to admit that I have absolutely no idea which one of these is the closest model to reality. We're in new economic and political ground, and even if the tariffs are quickly renegotiated and/or dropped, the impacts will continue to reverberate around the world for years. I'm sure we'll debate this for months to come here, though!


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] ziggurter@hexbear.net 48 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Apparently Avelo airlines has become the first/only commercial airline to publicly announce a contract with ICE for doing deportation. Usually it's little charter airlines that do it.

Can't resist those juicy PIC moneys for enhanced profit!

USA Today: Why are tens of thousands of people boycotting this little-known airline?

Original URLhttps://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2025/04/11/avelo-airlines-boycotts-ice-deportation/83054584007/

Excerpts

Around 30,000 people have signed a petition to boycott the small airline after Avelo made a deal with ICE to carry out deportation flights.

A little-known airline is facing backlash from tens of thousands of people after the company agreed to carry out deportation flights for Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

Avelo's entry into the deportation business comes as the Trump administration needs more planes to move detainees from one state to another and then to deport them from the U.S. to other countries. Avelo announced the contract with immigration authorities in early April.

Goff said the airline also carried out deportation flights for the Biden administration. Neither the company nor federal immigration authorities responded to questions about those flights.

The ultra-low-cost airline will fly deportation flights for the Department of Homeland Security on three of its Boeing 737-800 aircraft from Phoenix-Mesa Gateway Airport starting on May 12. The flights will travel internationally and domestically.

It’s unusual for a commercial airline to carry out deportation flights. Immigration authorities, the U.S. military or charter airlines typically operate the flights, according to Thomas Cartwright, who tracks deportation flights for immigrant rights group Witness at the Border.

Don't worry, though. 30k people have signed a petition!!!!

And, sorry/not sorry: because I found this gem of an opinion piece by a genocidal liberal fuckwit apologizing for this "just doing business" nonsense, you have to read it too.

Avelo Airlines — neither woke nor broke (apparently—according to Startpage—originally titled "Anger at Avelo deportation flights is misplaced. Here's why."

Original URLhttps://ctmirror.org/2025/04/13/avelo-deportation-flights-protest/

Excerpts

Connecticut’s favorite local airline, Avelo, is in trouble for making a strategic business decision: taking a long-term contract with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to fly deportation flights for the Department of Homeland Security.

Starting in May they’re dedicating three of their 20 737 jets to fly from Mesa, Ariz. to destinations both in the U.S. and overseas (presumably flying over the “Gulf of America”) possibly even heading to El Salvador to deliver deportees to prisons there.

The public reaction, while understandable, is misplaced.

Avelo is a common carrier airline. Their business is flying planes, not passing judgement on passengers or destinations.

They’ve even flown deportation flights for ICE during the Biden administration… and nobody complained.

They even provided charters for the Hillary Clinton campaign in 2016. This is their business: flying.

If you’re upset with ICE’s deportations, isn’t your anger better directed at them? Where are the legal appeals? Penalizing or boycotting Avelo won’t stop the deportations.

Taking on the ICE charters, they say, is a way of subsidizing their low fares as we face an economic recession and keeping their employees on payroll.

If protesters would “read the room” they’d realize that many of Avelo’s passengers probably support the deportations. After all, President Trump is only doing what he promised and what got him elected.

The airline is only doing this because it allows you your cheap tourism, folks. We all know that flying commercial passengers is done out of the goodness of their hearts, and will continue despite not being profitable (enough), so long as they can get better money from ICE! Sorry, but the ethnic cleansing is necessary for you to have your treats! And, after all, you can't blame the furnace companies for supplying the Nazis or anything; they were just in the business of making furnaces!

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[-] vegeta1@hexbear.net 48 points 1 week ago
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[-] geikei@hexbear.net 47 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Chinese Money Supply Report for March seems pretty strong after credit being anemic last year so good signs for the economy and demand outlooks i guess. And even less pressure regarding the trade war.

M2 money supply +7.0% y/y; Est. +6.1%;

M1 money supply +1.6% y/y; Est. +0.3%;

M0 money supply +11.5% y/y; Prev. +9.7%;

Aggregate financing 5.9 trillion yuan, Prev. 2.23;

New yuan loans 2.23 trillion yuan, Prev. 0.74.

Problem with credit in the last couple of years and especially last year is that since forever land sales were critical to the credit formation process because they drove the leveraged generation of loans through a number of asset collateralization processes. This is where the money for all other local economic activities came from. But that wasnt viable anymore so one of the central sturctual tranformations of the Chinese economy is to delink credit generation from land sales and towards more mature financial insturments, and that cant be seperated from the general crack down of real estate speculation and deflating that bubble. So especially during last year the "fountainhead" for the credit cycle was locked up because of the land finance wind down. Credit going back to normal seems to indicate there has been substantial progress in that aspect and maybe the economy is beyond the more shaky phase.

Mechanically, the credit impulse drives the demand cycle, not vice versa. Availability of money is what determines demand. Demand does not determine availability of money. So demand problems were in large part downstream of that. Reticence from households to spend due to property value deflation was only a secondary problem. The primary problem was squeezed incomes and business revenue from a slow moving liquidity lockup.

[-] sempersigh@hexbear.net 47 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

We have actually for reals entered a period known as the cool zone

Edit:

Cool zone denialists in shambles rn

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 47 points 1 week ago

Trump raises tariff on Chinese goods to 125%, accusing Beijing of 'lack of respect'

As we've just reported, Donald Trump has raised tariffs against China to 125%, and also issued a 90 day pause to some tariffs.

Here's his Truth Social statement in full:

"Based on the lack of respect that China has shown to the World’s Markets, I am hereby raising the Tariff charged to China by the United States of America to 125%, effective immediately.

At some point, hopefully in the near future, China will realize that the days of ripping off the U.S.A., and other Countries, is no longer sustainable or acceptable.

"Conversely, and based on the fact that more than 75 Countries have called Representatives of the United States, including the Departments of Commerce, Treasury, and the USTR, to negotiate a solution to the subjects being discussed relative to Trade, Trade Barriers, Tariffs, Currency Manipulation, and Non Monetary Tariffs, and that these Countries have not, at my strong suggestion, retaliated in any way, shape, or form against the United States, I have authorized a 90 day PAUSE, and a substantially lowered Reciprocal Tariff during this period, of 10%, also effective immediately. Thank you for your attention to this matter!"

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[-] Socialism_Is_The_Alternative@hexbear.net 47 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Regarding the tariff war, Colonel Cassad posted an image with two maps comparing which countries had the US or China as their largest trading partner, first from the year 2000 and then in 2024. China is now absolutely dominant.

https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9773078.html

Washington is frantically trying to reverse the trend. But the USA's hollowed out industrial base, crumbling infrastructure, and massive debts make achieving that goal practically impossible.

Yowzer,

Critical support for JDPON Don in his struggle against finance capital.

[-] vegeta1@hexbear.net 46 points 1 week ago

Anyone have wallstr33tbets reddit and discord screenshots? It must bw carnage now

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[-] miz@hexbear.net 46 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

so what's the latest on Mahmoud Khalil? still languishing in jail because of "protected" political speech?

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[-] Coolkidbozzy@hexbear.net 46 points 2 weeks ago

it sucks for my meager life savings but now I really wanna see how low this number can get

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 46 points 1 week ago

Ecuador imposes state of emergency before razor-close election - CBS NEWS

Article

On the eve of a too-close-to-call presidential election, Ecuador declared a state of emergency Saturday in seven of its 24 provinces, including the capital Quito, saying it was needed to fight a dramatic rise in drug-linked violence.

The measure, set to last 60 days, took effect just before Sunday's election pitting incumbent Daniel Noboa against his leftist opponent Luisa Gonzalez, and after the country began the year with its bloodiest start ever, averaging a killing every hour.

The state of emergency applies to the coastal provinces of Guayas, Los Rios, Manabi, Santa Elena and El Oro, the Amazonian provinces of Orellana and Sucumbios, as well as to Quito and the troubled mining town of Camilo Ponce Enriquez.

It also applies to the nation's prisons.

Noboa imposed the measure amid an "increase in violence, serious crime, and the intense unlawful activities of organized armed groups," according to a decree he signed.

The order suspends the legal protection against unauthorized search and entry of homes and mail, as well as the freedom of assembly, and imposes a nightly curfew in the cities of Guayas, Los Rios, Orellana and Sucumbios, as well as Ponce Enriquez.

Noboa, in power since November 2023, has previously decreed states of emergency to combat the rise of drug gangs, who have waged bloody turf fights over control of the illicit trade, spreading terror among ordinary Ecuadorans.

As he pursued his "iron fist" policies, the country's homicide rate fell from a record 47 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2023 to 38 in 2024, yet remained the highest in Latin America last year, according to the group Insight Crime.

Noboa last year declared Ecuador to be in an internal armed conflict, allowing him to keep troops in the streets to combat some 20 drug gangs linked to international cartels the president brands as "terrorists."

It was not immediately clear how the election-eve emergency measures would affect the voting process Sunday, or voters' decisions.

But crime has been a key issue between Noboa, 37, and his 47-year-old rival Gonzalez, as close to 14 million Ecuadorans prepare to decide who will run their nation for the next four years.

A Noboa victory would likely spell more "iron fist" policies, which have had mixed success. He wants to see U.S. troops deploy to Ecuador to tackle the cartels wrestling to control the flow of cocaine through Ecuadoran ports to Asia, the United States and Europe.

A win by Gonzalez, who hopes to be Ecuador's first female president, would signal a sharp shift to the left and a likely cooling of Ecuador's relations with the United States and its president, Donald Trump.

An American intelligence assessment of the Ecuadorian presidential election concluded that a reelection of the incumbent president would better serve U.S. national security interests over the challenger. Ecuador ranks among the 10 largest economies in Latin America and the bilateral trade between Ecuador and the United States surged to $15.2 billion in 2023.

Ecuador avoided Mr. Trump's imposed tariffs rolled out by the White House last week.

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[-] Losurdo_Enjoyer@hexbear.net 46 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

has xiaohongshu ever used he/him on any of their accounts? i only ever remember comrade/them being used on the kaplya and shipwreck accounts, and quite frankly i remember them commenting on dating threads and complaining about hexbear's misogony from a POV that at the very least wasnt a cis man's.

why i'm posting this: ive seen several people call xiahongshu "he" several times over the last few days which seems like possible mass misgendering :/

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[-] grandepequeno@hexbear.net 45 points 2 weeks ago

And now in utter despicable french guy news:

Macron’s fragrance overpowering aides in Elysée Palace

The French president sprays on ‘industrial amounts’ of Dior Eau Sauvage, according to journalist Olivier Beaumont

[-] jack@hexbear.net 45 points 2 weeks ago

second!

folks, the goldbugs

right as always (except for most of the time)

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 45 points 1 week ago

Left-wing and progressive parties in Ecuador express concern over the series of irregularities by the National Electoral Council (CNE) and the government of presidential candidate Daniel Noboa, implemented just hours before today's presidential runoff elections.

The statement reads:

Throughout the electoral process, we have witnessed the shameful role played by the National Electoral Council (CNE). It has failed to fulfill the functions established in the Constitution, which, among other things, mandates that it be the overseer of the electoral process and guarantor of transparency and equality for all contestants in the elections, but none of this has been fulfilled. The latest events we note below should concern and outrage all of us who defend democracy and transparency.

  • Last-minute relocation of 18 polling stations under the guise of winter weather. Rain has been ongoing for two months, and flooding has been punishing for two weeks. However, the decision was made at the last minute. Coincidentally, these changes affect the precincts where the ruling party did not perform well in the first round.
  • National government broadcasts, four times a day, in complete electoral silence, announcing alleged government actions; something that is expressly prohibited by law, but the CNE remains silent.
  • Delegations of international election observers are prevented from entering the country.
  • Use of state resources to distribute bonuses (USD 570 million), last-minute payments to state suppliers, and unofficial trips by the presidential candidate, all for the purpose of campaigning.
  • Decree of a state of emergency in 7 provinces, suspending the civil rights of inviolability of the home, correspondence, movement, and assembly; Coincidentally, these are the same provinces where presidential candidate Noboa failed to receive a favorable vote in the first round.
  • Suspension of voting for Ecuadorians in Venezuela.

We demand that the CNE assume its responsibility and guarantee transparent elections within the framework of the law. We are vigilant for the good of the country; we will not allow them to violate democratic principles. We alert international organizations, the EU, the UN, the OAS, and civil society oversight bodies about these regrettable events that continue to affect our country's weak democracy and hinder this process of citizen participation.

[-] Losurdo_Enjoyer@hexbear.net 45 points 1 week ago

nitter | twitter

interesting take about MMT. gist is that this tarrif situation shows that MMT is critically missing that the bond market will discipline you hard if you try to do what you want with no regards to it. or at least that is what this account is claiming anyways

I myself still unfortunately have not read the works of mmt theorists myself so i have no clue if one of the follow up tweets (nitter | twitter) is accurate:

It does advocate for not worrying about the disciplining power of yhe bond market, as you may be aware if you're familiar with their literature

@xiaohongshu2@hexbear.net thoughts on this? you may also be interested in this very old book that they are claiming explains the state of the US monetary system today better than MMT: A resource of war-- The credit of the government made immediately available.: History of the legal tender paper money issued during the great rebellion. Being a loan without interest and a national currency (https://annas-archive.org/md5/0fc65fd1833dc4a7d03ab10914234f9b)

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[-] coolusername@hexbear.net 45 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Trump needs to be more efficient at corruption. Instead of funneling money to the MiC via gov contracts and all the various forms of corruption he can just invite all the CEOs into a signal group and pump and dump the equity markets together using options. You can literally "make" hundreds of millions to billions of dollars overnight.

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[-] FunkyStuff@hexbear.net 45 points 1 week ago

What happens if the US keeps provoking China and China sells off treasuries and uses the cash to pay off Latam and African debt?

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[-] borschtisgarbo@lemmygrad.ml 45 points 1 week ago
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this post was submitted on 07 Apr 2025
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