[-] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 49 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Historically, has a military campaign that is almost exclusively bombing ever succeeded?

No. Wars cannot be and have never been won by air power alone. It is a fundamental basic military fact that air power by itself can't take and hold ground, which is what is ultimately required to win a war. As we are also seeing in Ukraine today, all of the fancy tech that today's militaries have is still secondary in importance to the basic infantryman who is the backbone of any war. Second is artillery by the way. Air power, missiles, drones, etc. are tertiary at best.

And if they really think that they will succeed with this approach where everyone else in history who has tried this failed (if sheer scale of bombing won wars then the US would have won Korea and Vietnam, but they lost the latter and fought to a stalemate in the former, and only because they actually deployed very large amount of ground forces for the Korean war) shows an utter illiteracy in military understanding. It shows that they have fully bought into their own bullshit, drank their own koolaid about American air supremacy having been what won the Iraq war rather than what it really was that did it which was massive amounts of CIA bribes.

If they want to win any kind of war they will have to deploy boots on the ground and we've seen very clearly not just over this past year but ever since a much weaker Hezbollah first kicked them out of Lebanon that nowadays the Zionist genocide forces are godawful when it comes to ground combat. Once upon a time in the 60s and 70s that may have been different as they still had a lot of Soviet WW2 veterans but all they've done for decades now is bully and murder an occupied population armed with sticks and stones and homemade weapons.

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submitted 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) by cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml to c/genzedong@lemmygrad.ml

SHOCKING report on the total collapse of business in China by the Financial Times was yesterday blown out of the water by users on x dotcom—and then the newspaper's own source joined critics of the news outlet.

The FT reported on Thursday that Chinese entrepreneurship had virtually disappeared, with just 1,202 companies launched last year. Evidence was data from a monitoring service called IT-Juzi.

The grim report by FT writer Eleanor Olcott and its eye-catching graph was viewed more than a million times on x dotcom, slotting naturally into the excessively negative narrative the paper carries every day on mainland China and Hong Kong.

'VOICE OF REASON' The first person to raise an objection was Arnaud Bertrand, a China-based Chinese medicine specialist who has become a popular "voice of reason" against the western narrative that is poisoning minds against the country.

He pointed out yesterday morning that if you looked at a single business sector, such as restaurants, in a single location, such as one city, you could immediately tell that there were large numbers of new companies.

Multiply that over a country of 1.4 billion people and you ended up with millions of new companies—exactly as Chinese government figures said.

ERROR IDENTIFIED Then investment specialist Glenn Luk stepped in and pointed out the precise mistake that the Financial Times had made. It had taken its figures from a narrow list that limited itself to new start-ups funded by institutional investors time-lagged to a specific period.

The data in no way could be used to determine how many new companies had been started in China, Luk pointed out.

FT writer Eleanor Olcott fought back by posting that: "IT Juzi is China’s leading data provider on startups, tracking companies across basically every conceivable vertical that a VC would be investing in."

HE SHOULD KNOW Then, yesterday, a message appeared from Wen Feixiang, the head of the company whose data was used by the Financial Times for its shocking graph.

"Hey, I am Feixiang, the ITJUZI. COM Founder and CEO," he wrote. "The citation in this article regarding the number of Chinese startup companies From ITJUZI is inaccurate."

He confirmed that his research firm's list in no way showed the total number of new firms in China.

"The only ethical thing to do at this stage for the FT is to apologize to its readers, and withdraw the article," Arnaud Bertrand posted last night.

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submitted 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) by cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml to c/worldnews@lemmygrad.ml

And it just coincidentally happens that the US has been threatening WADA to withhold funding if they don't do what the US wants (and this wasn't the first time either, they also issued the same threats in 2019).

So weird how WADA then concludes that they "had no choice" but to turn a blind eye to US doping and stay silent about the US's violations for "security reasons".

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An interesting take on the current events in Bangladesh that i think is worth considering but i'm not sure that i agree with this perspective. Honestly i just don't know enough yet about the situation and i will reserve judgement until i do.

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[-] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 52 points 4 months ago

And the US clown show kicks into overdrive. The trapeze artists are flying doing all sorts of backflips while the jugglers are on a unicycle riding the high wire. It's going to be an entertaining rest of the year if nothing else.

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[-] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 46 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

He didn't lose, he just cannot serve another term. She belongs to his party and he effectively campaigned for her. His popularity greatly helped boost her in the election. As a result of this election AMLO's party now has such a historic majority in government that the liberal media is fearmongering about how this may even give them a mandate to change the constitution.

[-] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 49 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

ISIL claims responsibility

This is false. The alleged ISIS announcement has already been identified as a fake. However it should be noted that this narrative was put out in a coordinated fashion by western media almost immediately after the attack in order to get ahead of the story.

So far what is known is:

  • the terrorists claim they were offered a substantial amount of money for the attack through a Telegram contact

  • the terrorists claim they were provided with weapons through a cache set up by a well organized network

  • the terrorists do not claim affiliation with ISIS

  • the terrorists were apprehended while frantically trying to reach the Ukrainian border

The fact pattern does not fit the MO of ISIS, this was not a suicide attack, it was meticulously planned and organized by a professional agency with substantial resources complete with a getaway plan for the terrorists.

I don't want to say anything more than this for now because this is not the time for speculation, we have to wait for all the facts. We will learn more in the coming days and weeks.

My deepest condolences to those affected by this heinous crime.

[-] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 52 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

China, Cuba, Vietnam, Venezuela, Belarus, DPRK, and if it is true that Russia is switching to a more state driven model then you can count Russia too because they are seeing a lot of growth with even more forecasted to come.

Meanwhile most of Europe is in recession, the US only has fake financialized growth, while the countries in the global south where the neoliberal model has been imposed are utter failures, just look at the disaster in Argentina.

You seem confused as to what the terms we are using actually mean since you speak of "command economies" rather than state led economies. State led does not mean absence of a market and it does not imply total economic planning. It means that the commanding heights of the economy are in the hands of the state which steers the overall direction of the economy. It does not have to look exactly like the USSR did, though that was a very successful model that was fit for the purpose of turning a backwards agrarian society into a modern industrial superpower.

And by the way, many of the advanced capitalist economies also got to where they are because in the past they employed state driven models of economic development as well as heavy protectionism. This is particularly true for Japan and occupied ("South") Korea, but also for European countries like Germany (the latter just did it earlier).

[-] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 47 points 11 months ago

So what you're saying is...Russia seized the means of burger production?

[-] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 48 points 1 year ago

AKHMAT [Chechen Military Unit under the Russian National Guard] Commander Apti Alaudinov commenting on the incident in Dagestan:

"If we start treating people differently, good or bad, only based on their nationality, then we‘ll turn into the same fascist,zionist government like Israel, we‘ll turn into those whom we‘re fighting in Ukraine.

A lot of jews live in Chechnya, serve in Akhmat and fight with us shoulder to shoulder. If we start treating them badly only based on their nationality, then the question arises what makes us better than these fascists? better than Israel? I don‘t think this is the correct way.

If our brothers from Palestine come to you, treat them well. If our Jewish brothers, who are fleeing the war, come to you treat them also well. These are civilians, not soldiers.

There are no bad nationalities - only bad people"

Source: DDGeopolitics

[-] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 45 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

It didn't take long and people have already uncovered Ukrainian intelligence working with Russian dissidents behind inciting this ugly incident:

As many independent Russian media outlets and activists point out, the Telegram channel Utro Dagestan that calls for anti-Semitic rallies in the North Caucasus is associated with former Duma MP Ilya Ponomaryov who is helping to set up Russian [neo-nazi] volunteer units fighting for Ukraine

https://nitter.net/leonidragozin/status/1718573392465477914

Ukraine-based Russian fugitive politician Ilya Ponomaryov identified himself as the channel’s “investor” back in May. Ponomaryov works on setting up Russian [neo-nazi] volunteer units fighting for Ukraine under the auspices of Ukraine’s military intelligence, the HUR.

https://nitter.net/leonidragozin/status/1718674725403025564

Basically we have a Russian liberal who is an asset of Ukrainian intelligence trying start a Jewish pogrom in a Muslim region of Russia to own the Kremlin...crazy times...

[-] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 49 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Taiwan. Hong Kong.

What point are you even trying to make here by just saying names of places that are part of China?

[-] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 42 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

I'm not going to rehash all of the myths and nonsense about the Ukraine conflict that you brought up, there is plenty of info out there if you care to un-indoctrinate yourself.

On the situation with Artsakh i will just say this: it is not Russia's responsibility, it is Armenia's. If Armenia does not ask for help then Russia cannot force it on them. Russia has no CSTO obligations toward Nagorno-Karabakh. Its treaty is with Armenia, and Armenia does not claim Karabakh as its own territory. Armenia explicitly recognizes Azeri sovereignty over N-K. Therefore as far as Russia and the rest of the world is concerned it is an internal Azerbaijan matter. Armenia has decided it does not want to get involved to protect its people, so why should Russia? You can't help someone who doesn't want to be helped.

[-] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 51 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

I'm sure we will get more news as the situation develops but all signs point to this being a very bad development. Hopefully the humanitarian catastrophe can be avoided or somewhat mitigated.

Taking a broader historic view at the situation i want to point out that this is a unique case of us getting a view of an alternate history scenario, namely we may see what would have happened in the situation with the Donbass had Russia not acted and intervened the way it did.

Kiev was preparing to launch just such an operation in late 2021/early 2022 with the aim of fully re-establishing control over the rebellious Donbass republics, and if successful of subsequently carrying out comprehensive ethnic cleansing. In both cases large armies sufficient to overrun the much weaker army of a breakaway region were amassed and the "anti-terrorism" justification was used.

The crucial difference lies in how the nation which understood itself as the protector of the breakaway ethnic group reacted: Russia pre-empted the Ukrainian attack on the Donbass by recognizing the independence of the two republics, then accepting the call for help received from these republics in defending themselves from the impending and ongoing attacks.

Armenia by contrast has refused to recognize the independence of Artsakh and as such has abandoned their fellow Armenians in that region to their fate. Because the Armenian government still recognizes Nagorno-Karabakh as part of Azerbaijan, the hands of their historic ally Russia, the only ones who would have been capable of helping the militarily weak Armenia against the much stronger Azerbaijan are effectively tied. They can only do so much in their role as peacekeepers

Iran, though on very good terms with Armenia, also recognizes Azerbaijan's sovereignty over N-K and will not intervene unless the Armenian Zangezur corridor (a vital national interest for Iran) is threatened.

Sadly it seems the political leadership of Armenia have decided to sacrifice their compatriots in Artsakh, exploiting this tragedy as an opportunity to discredit Russia and justify pursuing closer military and geopolitical alignment with the US.

The irony is that the US, as well as their allies "Israel" and Turkey, are and will continue to be firmly on Azerbaijan's side, as it is much more geopolitically valuable to them than Armenia (for various reasons such as oil/gas, position vs. Iran, pan-Turkism, etc.).

Right now it is still possible for Azerbaijan (at the "request" of the US/EU) to decide to suddenly stop before incurring too much bad PR, judging that the goal of creating enough uncertainty over Russia's ability to keep the peace has been achieved. This would enable Yerevan to crank up the rhetoric persuading Armenians of the necessity of the geopolitical realignment.

The ethnic cleansing would still be achieved but over a longer period of time and with less overtly military means that are too visible to the international audience. Instead of evicting them all in one big military operation the pressure would slowly be ratchetted up until life is made unbearable enough for the people to simply leave. In this i'm sure Baku will receive lessons and training from their Israeli allies.

[-] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 42 points 1 year ago

If they were serious about the so-called "peace talks" they would have invited Russia. You don't hold "peace talks" with only one party, that is complete and utter nonsense. What they mean when they say "negotiations" is they want Russia to just surrender and accept all of Kiev's insane demands. Obviously that is a non-starter and they know it, so the only logical conclusion is that they do not want to talk in earnest yet. So this conflict will go on until they do.

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cfgaussian

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