[-] geikei@hexbear.net 16 points 1 week ago

Iran needs to do some purges cause i doupt China wants to give them modern systems for them to get blown up by a Mossad agent firing rpgs from neighbouring parking lot. It also needs to drop any tech transfer requirements for deals and actualy fastrack an actual intergration with China economicaly and into their "sphere". Last thing china needs is to make an effort to arm iran and them some dumbass reformist wing gaining prominence in 5-10 years looking to turn west

[-] geikei@hexbear.net 15 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

werent even a lot of irgc and government people using non chinese phones and apps for communication. Like what the fuck are we doing

[-] geikei@hexbear.net 16 points 2 weeks ago

The oil and blockade stuff quickly becomes irrelevant given the fact that China cant actualy be blockaded by the US or any allies the US can muster in any significant capacity and even if that was attempted it by definition would include blockading the entire EA from energy and other imputs as well, including Taiwan, Japan and worst Korea. Even if there is regime change and the US somehow manages to force all gulf nations plus new Iran to turn of the oil valve , or the US tries to close the straight of whatever, 90% of SEA and EA countries will implode months before China is even notably hurt by it with taiwan being first to. Its a scenario only for redditors. There are other reasons regarding changes in chinese oil needs, overseas routes and availability, rapid changes China can force domesticaly in a time of crisis that make it even less likely for China to be seriously hurt it even in that phantasy scenario

[-] geikei@hexbear.net 15 points 1 month ago

nah land based j-35 variant (seen in the air show this year and actualy marketed to Egypt as well this month -they brought some mock up at least-) will most likely be sold to Pakistan in the nearish future and to whoever else is interested eventualy. China likes and plans around the j-20 more for the theater its interested and it has already been testing and recieving the carrier based j-35 variant . So the land based J-35 variant is basicaly made to be exported. Maybe 1-2 countries like Algeria opt for the Su-57 if Russia manages actual production but for everyone else locked out of the f35 program , j35 will be an option given time. I doupt China cares too much and they will have their 6th gen platforms entering service before Europe manages a 5th gen program either way

[-] geikei@hexbear.net 15 points 3 months ago

Vietnam is one of the most if not the most exposed markets to Tarrifs and got hit with some of the highest rates and dont have many levers of counter pressure.For a country like Vietnam this shit is pretty apocalyptic so their response would always would have been meek at best. You cant extrapolate general response cause its THE extreme case and nothing even happened yet

[-] geikei@hexbear.net 15 points 7 months ago

The 2 billion they issued was snapped up immediately by international buyers and over-subscribed by a factor of x15. So there is demand. I was positive but not too freaked out over it in my comments earlier. It’s a good thing to keep an eye on but there’s no guarantee this is what will happen at massive scales. The mechanism seems quite plausible in washing USD back to the US, helping countries with USD depts and advancing Chinese (non USD) trade and intergration with RoW. But there are always ways this mechanism gets nixed. The broader theme is correct though i think, a main motivation behind this is to experiment with ways to decrease US(D) dependency, level the global financial playing field and calm down the starving levels of demand for USD liquidity that holds a firm grasp in many if not most countries. It does have big "find out potencial" but there is no singular thing or move to uproot USD hegemony. More so China and maybe more importantly the US to slowly bleed it enough with a thousand cuts

[-] geikei@hexbear.net 16 points 7 months ago

They used ATACMS saturation attacks on S300s and S400s. They were also used on more targets than just GBAD. They used an unknown amount targeting command assets and radars in Crimea, as well as some training grounds in various parts of Ukraine which resulted in likely hundreds of casualties. They number of ATACMS strikes has been prob ~20 +/- 5. And the Salvo size is 4-12 missiles for each strickes. I'd guess they have used ~200

[-] geikei@hexbear.net 16 points 7 months ago

The SU-57 flying in Zhuhai is an advertisement for other buyers, not China. And the credible rumor is that a deal was signed. Most likely with Algeria.

Beyond nuclear submarine tech (Russia ahead) and Jet engines (Russia slightly ahead), China really doesnt need anything Russia has in any notable quantities (quantities Russia cant even put out for sale atm). Su-57 is great but its not a great fit for the pacific theater compared to the j20 and j35 . China will be churning out ~200 5th gen airframes of those two combined per year from 2025 onwards either way

[-] geikei@hexbear.net 16 points 1 year ago

Some scetches of the incident by the animation director of The Boy and the Heron, Takeshi Honda

[-] geikei@hexbear.net 16 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Also its beyond meaningless when you consider that at most idk 3% of the population of Xinjiang and 1% in Tibet is considering themselves to be occupied by China and are remotely likely to participate or aid in an armed struggle against the CPC, even at the best possible conditions

Like sure, Tibetians have a right to engage in an armed anti-colonial struggle or kickstart an indeginous liberation movement ok. You probably couldnt even fill an NBA stadium with those willing so what does that leave their lib free Tibet dreams. The CIA was trying to recruit and instigate an anti-chinese sessesionist movement last century and they gave up because they couldnt find enough willing Tibetians to get the project off the ground. And they had a budget of dozens and dozens of millions to pay off poor ass Tibetians and they still couldnt find any fertile sessesionist sentiment. And thats on record

[-] geikei@hexbear.net 16 points 2 years ago

They prob have some 10k of them and they fired what? 100?

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geikei

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