Tony Blair Hitler (CDU) is almost guaranteed to win and with Friedrich Merz they're running the most unhinged and corrupt austerity ghoul in their entire party of corrupt austerity ghouls. The question is who this diabolic, inhuman MFer will form a coalition with. The likely options are either Tony Blair (SPD) or Tony Blair but green (Greens), depending on who lets Tony Blair Hitler be more Hitlerist (they will both let him be very Hitlerist). The SPD would likely allow the CDU to do more racism, transphobia, misogyny and police state overreach and would be more in favor of fossil industries, the Greens are less reactionary but complete lanyard dorks on foreign policy and more neoliberal (so are the SPD, but it's somehow worse with the Greens). So the options are shit and more shit and i'm doing what i can to radicalize people around me, because we're gonna need that in the coming years.

Also, there's the question wich smaller parties will make it into the next parliament. The libertarian hustlegrind bazinga brains from the FDP (Tony Blair who is friends with Hitler) might fail the 5% threshold after blockading everything for the last three years and deliberately breaking up the last coalition. Die Linke just had the BSW split off from them, so now we have a leftist party that does nothing and a party of PatSoc tailists who function as a personality cult for Sahra Wagenknecht, ex-ML-turned-reactionary-socdem. Both of them could fail the 5% threshold, but Die Linke is more likely to because ofc people in this country want more racism and transphobia in their mild socdem policies. Both are also almost guaranteed to not be part of any government on the federal level because they are not imperialist enough to be let anywhere near German foreign policy.

Which is also the only reason why i do not think the CDU will form a coalition with Hitler (the AfD, which is the second strongest party in polls rn). While they aren't principled anti-imperialists (they are the most rabidly zionist party in parliament), they are vocally pro-Russian, and the CDU is pro-USA to the bone. That's not gonna work out, anything but unwavering commitment to being a US vassal state is not on the polls.

If the impression you're getting from this is that Germany isn't actually a democracy, that things here are completely fucked, or that Stalin shouldn't have stopped at Berlin, you're obviously correct.