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Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 12 points 1 month ago

China keeps winning while the rest of the world keeps losing. That doesn’t sound like a winning equation but I hope you’re right

[-] jack@hexbear.net 22 points 1 month ago

This simply isn't accurate. China has surplanted the US as the leading trading partner of almost every country on earth, creating far more room for the global south to maneuver and pressure their own development. All across Asia, Africa, and Latin America, the US's power has been in decline. We're in a second pink tide in Latin America, including the best political leadership Mexico has had in a century, the solidification of the PSUV in Venezuela, and the loss of America's staunchest anti-communists ally to pro-China, any-Israel Gustavo Petro. France has lost almost all of its military presence in Africa, including but not limited tothe obvious anti-imperialist crown jewel the AES. Vietnam is closer to China than it's been since the early days of the revolution and following the same path of economic development. Russia is winning (slowly) in Ukraine while the imperial European polity slithers away to global irrelevance, as is the fate of all US allies.

And despite what some on here will tell you, by every single metric, dollar hegemony is in decline. China has rapidly built a replacement for the SWIFT system and is shifting more and more of its trade away from the dollar. No, it did not deal a dramatic death blow to the dollar - because the US, as we can see, is not an irrelevant power unable to deal death and destruction. Instead, China is overseeing and directing the managed decline of the American financial empire while building socialism at home for 15% of the world's population.

Not that China is beyond reproach. There is no excuse for their continued trade with Israel, though that too is declining precipitously. But generally, we should recognize that China is, in fact, the heart of global anti-imperialism. Without a doubt, the number one reason for the dramatic decline in US power is the steady leadership of the Communist Party of China and their studious, strategic implementation of the immortal science of Marxism-Leninism.

[-] BynarsAreOk@hexbear.net 5 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

China has surplanted the US as the leading trading partner of almost every country on earth, creating far more room for the global south to maneuver and pressure their own development. All across Asia, Africa, and Latin America, the US's power has been in decline.

You're spitting optimistic nonsense, I'm sorry, but if you're proposing that Brazil's complete de-industrialization is good because they're getting cheap shit from China instead of the US then I'd present you with Lula literaly signing 25 years outdated trade deals with the EU and Mercosur that further cements the entire South America as a backwards commodity exporter region. Brazil's interest rate is at a record 15%, meanwhile several global south countries are defaulting on their debt, Sri lank, Ethiopia, Argentina, Bangladesh etc... The global south continues on a path of death and destruction. China's replacing the US changed literaly nothing in this trajectory.

BRICS future is destined to remain as un-industrialized and super-expoited. China has made zero difference in this area.

The Amazon forest will become a desert thanks to farmers illegal deforestation, the same ones that export to China and the US and Chinese nationalists will have the audacity to say that its a good thing, at least I can import shit through Aliexpress lol. God these idiots are already our enemies.

[-] jack@hexbear.net 8 points 1 month ago

if you're proposing that Brazil's complete de-industrialization is good because they're getting cheap shit from China instead of the US

Yeah, that's definitely what I said

I'm sorry that China isn't literally saving the entire world from capitalism and imperialism by itself. Building socialism for 1.4 billion people and undermining US power across the globe through peaceful mutual development is truly underdelivering. The PRC has done more for the process of human liberation and development than literally any entity in human history. It has its limits and its flaws, but frankly the rest of us need to be working to fix our own shit instead of blaming China for not saving the day.

[-] BynarsAreOk@hexbear.net 4 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

You literaly said trading partner. You said it gave them "room to maneuver". I literaly gave you an example that this resulted in a country like Brazil literaly signing yet another imperialist deal with the west.

Building socialism for 1.4 billion people and undermining US power across the globe through peaceful mutual development is truly underdelivering.

I literaly gave you multiple examples where this isn't happening. If you don't want to accept it its your problem. The world only looks peaceful around China's borders, what liberal nonsense.

[-] Jabril@hexbear.net 10 points 1 month ago

China has invested hundreds of billions into the global south and has demonstrably raised wages of probably billions of people in the process. I remember a paper from a few years ago that demonstrated it with China telecom expansion. China providing affordable phone and Internet access for people who otherwise didn't have it increased real wages for impoverished people.

I was just watching the China Report on breakthrough news and they cited an increase of Indonesia's state income from 3 billion to 32 billion in two years after China invested 30 billion in nickel processing facilities there.

These are just two examples of what I assume to be hundreds where China is taking the money they make and investing it around the world in a way that is mutually beneficial and improves the lives of people in ways that most people probably aren't aware of. Of course the relationship isn't totally equal, China is coming out with the better end of the deal in most cases, but we also have many examples of responsible state leadership from partner countries negotiating for better deals and getting them. Gyude Moore and Varoufakis have spoken about this at length.

So it isn't accurate to say China is winning while everyone else loses. China is certainly doing a lot of good around the world which has real impacts on average people; infrastructure, employment, healthcare, and more. They are sharing their wealth in a way that is building up the productive forces of the world

this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2025
178 points (98.4% liked)

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