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Seems good
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this post was submitted on 02 Feb 2024
157 points (100.0% liked)
chapotraphouse
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Yeah, we were all expecting this year to be substantially warmer than 2022-2023 because of ENSO, but this is significantly worse than most of the models predicted. That seems to be turning into a trend. Our current 365 day running average for air temperature is 1.51 degrees C above the pre-industrial baseline, which most models thought we wouldn't pass for another ~10 years. Not good.
Its really frustrating that scientists have been as un-alarmist and conservative as possible with their estimates and all their models to avoid being written off as unserious and a bunch of people who don't understand that science really trys to avoid definitive statements have used that to simultaneously argue it won't be that bad and they're a bunch of crazy alarmists.