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Dems aren't adding to their base either, especially with the economy in the gutter, open support for genocide, and the failed proxy war in Ukraine. All the polling shows that dems are losing support across the board.
As I mentioned, the Dobbs decision has in fact galvanized and added to the Dem base. Yes, this is tempered by the dozens of reasons they're horrible but it remains a factor.
Good news is that we don't have to wait too long to find out what actually happens.
time flies when you don't actually give a shit
Trump isn't adding to his base either. a lot of independent voters think Trump is corrupt. he is not very popular outside of his base. Biden's strategy is run on anger at the abortion decision and "saving democracy" which might be enough to put him across the finish line but it should be a blow out for democrats if someone who wasn't Biden was running against him.
I guess we'll see how it plays out.