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this post was submitted on 08 Oct 2024
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I want to be optimistic about this but its quite improbable that China is willing to die on the Cuban hill out of nowhere for little gain when they're currently giving up on the arguably far more important(materially if not ideologically important) Russian hill e.g they're letting US sanctions on Chinese banks affect trade with Russia.
We'll see but I smell they'll do something like honorary member or some shit and give marginal diplomatic or whatever benefits, maybe disguise it as foreign aid or something.
The reality is that the US is already in an open trade war with China, and it's only going to escalate. Doing trade with Cuba is gonna be no different than doing trade with Russia from China's perspective. Chinese trade with Russia has exploded since the war started.