Trump & the GOP have all the power. But have you considered he didn't get 50% and... screws? (hexbear.net)

submitted 2 days ago by InevitableSwing@hexbear.net to c/chapotraphouse@hexbear.net

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[-] alcoholicorn@lemmy.ml 31 points 2 days ago

Harris may have 8 of the 13 keys, but she only has 48 of the 99 screws

[-] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 32 points 2 days ago

I forgot all about that guy and his keys! I googled.

'I admit I was wrong': Allan Lichtman explains why his election prediction failed

Lichtman attributed the inaccurate prediction to factors like disdain for the Biden administration and Harris' late campaign start.

Despite the miss, Lichtman stands by his "13 Keys to the White House" system, emphasizing its long-term accuracy.

He also criticized Nate Silver's polling-based prediction model, suggesting it relied heavily on chance.

Buy my book! It will help you predict a coin flip. Perhaps wrongly but still...!

This made me laugh.

"I don't think I called any (keys) wrong," Lichtman said. "The contest key was rendered problematic by what went on by the Democratic Party but I don't think you can say I called it wrong except for in retrospect. At the time it was the more reasonable call."

I'm stealing "render problematic" and "[My logic was not wrong]" and "I don't think you can say I called it wrong except [in] retrospect".

[-] alcoholicorn@lemmy.ml 27 points 2 days ago

They keys did not fail, America failed the keys.

[-] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 18 points 2 days ago

Look, the keys are still good and it's the locks that are wrong - if your spouse throws you out of the house and changes the locks because America is shacking up with Trump.