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submitted 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) by MicroWave@lemmy.world to c/politics@lemmy.world

Summary

Trump’s popular vote share has fallen below 50% to 49.94%, with Kamala Harris at 48.26%, narrowing his margin of victory.

Trump’s share of the popular vote is lower than Biden’s in 2020 (51.3%), Obama’s in 2012 (51.1%) and 2008 (52.9%), George W. Bush’s in 2004 (50.7%), George H.W. Bush’s in 1988 (53.2%), Reagan’s in 1984 (58.8%) and 1980 (50.7%), and Carter’s in 1976 (50.1%).

The 2024 election results highlight Trump’s narrow victory and the need for Democrats to address their mistakes and build a diverse working-class coalition.

The numbers also give Democrats a reason to push back on Trump’s mandate claims, noting most Americans did not vote for him.

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[-] mercano@lemmy.world 131 points 6 months ago

The fact that a majority of voters did not want Trump to win makes me simultaneously feel happy (that I’m not surrounded by idiots) and more depressed (that the Electoral College has screwed us AGAIN!)

[-] empireOfLove2@lemmy.dbzer0.com 167 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

It's a lack of majority not a lack of plurality. Harris is still trailing Trump by 3m votes or so (and 1.6%), Trump is just not above 50% after further votes have been counted. So this isn't an electoral college steal

[-] givesomefucks@lemmy.world 48 points 6 months ago

Yeah, but even if Kamala wins the popular vote, this is going to be the closest a republican has gotten in..

Decades?

Maybe longer?

But the DNC is going to latch onto this and try to claim if they had moved just a little more right they'd have won.

Regardless of what happens, the DNC will always say the answer is moving to the right.

[-] gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works 27 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

The DNC brain trust is already claiming that they should go further to the right

[-] HawlSera@lemm.ee 15 points 6 months ago

They were told they abandoned workers, and somehow heard "What if we betray Transpeople?"

[-] Maggoty@lemmy.world 8 points 6 months ago

They're already starting to trial run the messaging through lower ranking democrats in safe seats. (Link)

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[-] demesisx@infosec.pub 59 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

FPTP should get FAR more attention as the culprit for this situation. Sure, the electoral college caused Kamala to lose (or whatever) but if we had a true democracy, there wouldn’t be only two possible parties to choose from.

FPTP

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[-] Semi_Hemi_Demigod@lemmy.world 35 points 6 months ago

Don't worry, you're still surrounded by idiots no matter who wins the presidency

[-] arandomthought@sh.itjust.works 14 points 6 months ago

Yeah does it really make that much of a difference in terms of "being surrounded by idiots" whether 51% of the people around you are idiots or 49%? Sure, I'd prefer the 49% scenario, especially if there's an election happening, but you're still surrounded by idiots.

[-] Semi_Hemi_Demigod@lemmy.world 19 points 6 months ago

The fact that Trump could get elected at all, let alone twice, is proof that there's too many idiots to want to participate in normal society

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[-] testfactor@lemmy.world 24 points 6 months ago

He still had more of the popular vote than Harris, it was just they were both less than 50% due to 3rd party votes. So neither had a "majority" of the vote.

So he still would have won, even under a purely popular vote based system.

[-] pennomi@lemmy.world 9 points 6 months ago

Another thing it means is that if we had ranked choice voting, those 3rd party votes would be the deciding factor in who won the presidency.

[-] Not_mikey@slrpnk.net 4 points 6 months ago

If we had ranked choice and got rid of the electoral college*

A lot of those third party votes are in solid red or blue states where it wouldn't matter. Also a lot of the third party votes this time was for rfk and the libertarian Oliver, who wouldve probably went to trump so the outcome would probably be the same.

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[-] testfactor@lemmy.world 99 points 6 months ago

To be clear, because the headline I think is a bit misrepresentative. Trump still has over a million more votes than Harris. He just no longer has over 50% of the votes cast.

It's like 49% Trump, 48% Harris, 3% Other. So Trump still won the popular vote.

This isn't a "the Electoral College screwed us" situation. He still "won" the popular vote. He just didn't win a "majority" of the votes cast.

[-] Wrench@lemmy.world 20 points 6 months ago

Yep. And as much as I'd like to blame 3rd party voters, even if they all voted Harris to giver her the majority, she'd have still lost due to electoral college.

I will absolutely blame the non-voters though. And the 3rd party voters still get part of the blame.

[-] Rentlar@lemmy.ca 62 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

58% of the deciding power with just under 50% of the vote?

This might be a catalyst for states to sign the NPVIC. Pennsylvania started the process to sign on this week in legislature.

Perhaps in the past, swing states enjoyed the attention they got.

Now, I have a feeling voters are frustrated from getting way too much attention with mailers, calls, texts, illegal lotteries, news stories, events. As a bonus, voters in swing states are and will be getting outsized blame for electing the returning rapist-in-chief. Anyways a potential silver lining in the impending sea of shit.

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[-] TommySoda@lemmy.world 48 points 6 months ago

Wasn't it something like he only gained about 500,000 votes from the last primary election? The reason the Democrats lost was because they lost 10,000,000 due to people just straight up not voting for Kamala by either going 3rd party, switching to Trump, or abstaining. In my opinion it wasn't really Trump's popularity that won him the election but more of just the Democrats lack of popularity.

[-] empireOfLove2@lemmy.dbzer0.com 32 points 6 months ago

Democrats lack of popularity, coupled with active voter suppression tactics in numerous states, four straight years of misinformation campaigns designed to decrease voter turnout and/or drive them to third parties maliciously, and most critically, no more covid lockdowns allowing people the free time to vote. People working full time wage jobs that are most likely to vote more blue are, quite intentionally, not financially allowed to vote in person due to work scheduling; 2020 was an outlier year.

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[-] iAmTheTot@sh.itjust.works 5 points 6 months ago

Actually, Harris did nearly as well or better than Biden in the only states that matter, the swing states. In the ones the Harris didn't beat Biden's vote total, even if she had gotten it Trump would have still won the electoral college.

In other words, no it's not because dems didn't vote.

[-] WrenFeathers@lemmy.world 45 points 6 months ago

I mean…. Does it really matter?

[-] TempermentalAnomaly@lemmy.world 23 points 6 months ago

Nope.

Some liberals will say that he won't be able to claim a mandate. Doesn't matter. He will.

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[-] AidsKitty@lemmy.world 35 points 6 months ago

This is a ridiculous argument. Orange man won the electoral college, got the most votes, won the senate, house of reps, the presidency, and the supreme court. What more is there to lose?

[-] TankovayaDiviziya@lemmy.world 13 points 6 months ago

Plenty of coping from the liberal corporate media, instead of admitting that liberals abandoned the working class to court the monied interests.

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[-] 7112@lemmy.world 32 points 6 months ago

The big problem is we all think someone else will solve this issue. All the investigations, congress, and even the public... they did nothing.

Run for office. Start small. Kick them out of the school boards follow their playbook and work bottom up.

[-] Whiskey_iicarus@lemmy.dbzer0.com 6 points 6 months ago

This is the way.

[-] frunch@lemmy.world 4 points 6 months ago

That is certainly a possible solution. However I also think a lot of folks simply don't have the time to commit in addition to their regular jobs and responsibilities. Guess that's how we wound up with so wealthy people in politics... they got all that free time ⏰ (and they think they know what's best for everyone else too, perhaps? 🙃)

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[-] cultsuperstar@lemmy.world 32 points 6 months ago

It sucks that the Dems don't bother with a recount, even if it's still the same result. Republicans wanted recounts just about everywhere they could in 2020. Instead they just say "welp, looks like we lost. Here's the keys to the kingdom." Do some due diligence and have a damn recount.

[-] HawlSera@lemm.ee 23 points 6 months ago

The problem is Republicans are heartless, but Democrats are spineless.

[-] nucleative@lemmy.world 11 points 6 months ago

Those kind of things have to be done in every single district and costs millions of dollars. Unless there's a probable chance, it's probably better to save the cash and use it for something that could get results in the future

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[-] BruceTwarzen@lemm.ee 27 points 6 months ago

Actually only 50% of us support the fat pedophile fascist.

[-] lemmingthelemmers@lemmy.world 8 points 6 months ago

It's way less than that. Like 35% of eligible voters did not vote.

[-] NotBillMurray@lemmy.world 5 points 6 months ago

Yup, just 71 million or so goddam people voted for a narcissistic grifter felony with daddy issues. Fuck.

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[-] Solitaire20X6@sh.itjust.works 23 points 6 months ago

now take into account the massive GOP voter fraud

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[-] WatDabney@sopuli.xyz 19 points 6 months ago

Since when has reality made any difference at all to Trump?

He doesn't believe he has a mandate because the numbers add up that way, so he's not going to believe he doesn't because they don't. He believes he has a mandate because he's the bestest and smartest and most perfect president ever in the history of ever. And he's never going to stop believing that.

[-] frezik@midwest.social 5 points 6 months ago

It makes a big difference to him, personally. He's a walking ego, and the fact that the American people aren't in a majority behind him will gnaw at him.

It means fuck all in any practical way. At best, the country isn't quite as giving into fascism as we thought. That's the best I got, and it ain't much.

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[-] Sam_Bass@lemmy.world 19 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

At no time in the history of modern politics has the "popular vote" taken precedence over the electoral college. If you'll remember, biden's campaign made that point during his defeat of the orange 4 years ago. And the orange complained pretty loudly about it

[-] LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world 11 points 6 months ago

Not to mention the numbers I saw still show he has more votes than her, he just fell below 50%, add in the people who voted for other candidates or voted for other positions and not president and she is below. I saw only 4% of votes left in California, meaning he will beat her by at least a million votes.

[-] NeoToasty@kbin.melroy.org 10 points 6 months ago

Democrats need to stop wasting time by challenging the results of this election in any way. We're going to be under the control of a party that waives facts and truths so it doesn't matter.

The Democrats need to be re-worked entirely. The reason why they failed this year is like how they failed in 2016. They focused on the whole "TRUMP BAD!" wagon and expected that to carry them. That's great...as a platform. But it was all that they mostly had. Platforms aren't any good if you can't build off from them and that's what the Dems didn't do.

I know and understand that if Harris had a full year of campaigning instead of a handful of months, maybe she could've had a better shot and a better understanding of how she'd turn this country around. But, she fell into the same trap as Clinton did and that's why she lost. She wasn't the entire reason, the Dems had a part in that too collectively, but a part of the reason.

You cannot just scream "THAT MAN BAD" without backing it up and without promise of how you'll do things right - for everyone. Emphasis on 'everyone' because there apparently are some groups that Harris and the Dems failed on and lost their votes. That's important.

Right now, Democrats need to seriously reconstructure.

And I hope that within the first year of this fascist's term of how much shit they'd have to sit, watch and fight over on. That by the 2026 mid-terms, that they get their heads out of their fucking asses.

[-] PunnyName@lemmy.world 10 points 6 months ago

I'm calling him a fascist, and those who voted for him fascists. Fuck this fascist country.

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[-] prole@lemmy.blahaj.zone 10 points 6 months ago

It won't matter. He, and his cultists, will continue to claim otherwise.

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this post was submitted on 19 Nov 2024
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