Some big ass batteries in that EW vehicle

I think after the military engagement with Pakistan and the fact that the S-400s and other Russian systems performed very well from the India side while the prospects of western cutting edge system procurement hasnt gotten any more likely in the last couple of years, India cant really join in on any major anti-russian action even if the Indian west loving capitalists would like to. Their military cooperation and future orders with Russia, especilly in air defenses or some prospctive launch back of modern fighter jet coproduction and joint venture, are pretty much the only constant and working thing in Indian military reality and i dont really think they are in position to throw it all out

The systems China is comfortable selling to countries like Egypt or some Gulf Country in the future are systems they have domestic evolutions or replacements of, different and superior to a significant enough degree. Inferior to stuff the US has probably as well. As such they most likely judge whatever info america can obdain as non vital to their security and not some advantage for the americans. You cant avoid selling stuff to countries who do close buisness with the US MIC either way, that isnt a deal breaker even for Russia's relatively modern system exports.

Not saying that the numbers quoted here are accurate but what do you think of this line of thinking pointing towards iran having a quite a bit more:

In 2003, with the help of North Korea, the Iranians incorporated the Shahab-3 missile, which has an almost 2,000 km range, into their arsenal. By 2005, they began producing it domestically.

Since then, twenty years have passed during which Iran has been producing and stockpiling missiles capable of reaching Israel. How can Iran have only 2,000-3,000 missiles? This is really a joke.

To give you an idea, North Korea began producing the KN-24 five years ago, and currently manufactures 200-300 missiles annually, all within a single class.

Today, Iran has about 15 missile classes capable of reaching Israel, including ballistic and cruise missiles. If the Koreans are manufacturing 200-300 missile of a single class, what about Iran with 15 class able to reach Israel?

It’s important to highlight that Iran is vastly wealthier than North Korea, with much more mineral resources, and currently has a much larger research and production infrastructure, combining public and private companies.

Iran is primarily a nation of missiles and drones; it does not possess a decent navy or aircraft, let alone high-quality armored vehicles. Its military efforts are focused on missile warfare, involving advanced radar and defense systems.

plasma effect from violently compressed air in front and around the tip of the missile

Will probably elaborate later but China can absolutely afford to lose the US market much more so than the opposite. And they are well prepared and equiped to handle that. With some economic pain but not nearly economy or country breaking, hell not even near recession territory

It seems like it will be focused mainly on high altitude long range flight and over the horizon targeting of air/land/sea assets while also retaining an A2A profile. After all the (probably) 4-engine H-20 strategic bomber from Xi'an AC is probably at a later stage of development so this shouldnt step too much into that role

Beyond high altitude operations the three engines on this likely are there for internal electronic and systems energy demands . DEW , Much more powerful radar, large computation power, leading UCAVs on long range & endurance missions without tanker support. Range/patrol time are huge for a Westpac conflict. This can be a B-21 neutralizer for example. Satellite tells you when B-21s take off from Alaska or wherever. High Power+long endurance+UCAVs allow you to detect it & then establish weapon grade targeting from far out for whatever last gen missiles you carry on board.

That small % of FDI in proportion to GDP is responsible for 16% of China’s tax revenues and nearly 30% (!!) of China’s export value!

The 16% number is for FIE of all venture configurations and country sources , not just the US which is a small minority of total investment. And capital and revenues of FIE of any short =/= FDI to begin with which is what you mentioned. Also FDI in high tech sectors is at ~10% of total for 2024 but the increase came from non US sources ,is still only 10% and is hillarously dawrfed by China's domestic investment. If we are going to be pulling stats and facts that are only tangentialy true you are better of watching Trumps Joe Rogan episode and search for hints on how he plans on solidifying US dollar hegemony

submarines can disrupt shipping lanes vital for Chinese exports. Blowing up a few container ships and the global trade gets stunted to a halt. This will significantly damage both the US and China’s economies. The US has food and fuel, China needs to import food and fuel (and a lot of them came from America too), so the question is: who can survive longer?

Sorry but this a reddit tier analysis.

To begin with such an attempt by the US would come after some PRC blockade or kinetic action on Taiwan and as a result even if we assume what you say is credible as an anti-China strategy the answer to the question of "who can survive longer?" is by and far "not Taiwan". If the US doesnt attempt to actively break a Chinese blockade in a scale that matters or engage invading Chinese forces, so actualy engage in war in that theater, then Taiwan will capitulate in weeks and then its over. US cant get it back and them continuing to destroy the most important shipping lanes in the world after China already takes Taiwan is silly. For the effects of a blockade to even be felt by China, Taiwan would have to hold for over a year due to the size of China's stockpiles, which in and of itself is a highly questionable assumption given that unlike Ukraine, Taiwan is extremely reliant on trade for basically everything from food to fuel. If Taiwan falls in a few months which is a good case scenario for them, the blockade will likely not force China to relinquish control. If Taiwan doesn't fall in a few months, it won't be because of the blockade. A blockade cant be done with some subs striking rando ships. Its a completely lopsided resource drain for little to no immediate battlefield benefit which is what Taiwan needs. If Taiwan is successfully cut off from world trade, they have virtually no chance of lasting for very long and given deteriorating domestic conditions, they could probably be convinced to capitulate.

Lets talk self sufficency tho because you overstate chinese food and fuel dependance.

China produces 4.3m bpd, imports 11.4m bpd crude but exports 1.1m bpd refined. They can get abt 2-3m bpd from Russia. 400k bpd from Myanmar & Kazakhstan thru pipeline. Getting 6.5m bpd during an emergency is easily do-able.

Stopping half the flights, shipping & gas cars can cut abt 5-6m bpd of usage and in general gasoline/diesel usage can be reduced to minimal levels in such situation since NEVs are everywhere and they will be even more so everywhere with each coming year. Petrochem usage can be reduced through higher utilization in coal-to-chem plants + more imports over land. Food, Crude & refined products can be transported in over land through trains & trucks. North Sea Routes add additional shipping capacity - US would bring Russia into conflict if Russian tankers are targeted in their own water. China also has the option to increase the capacity from Russia but chose to not do it currently. If China bellived this was a problem they would have approved power of the Siberia 2 and other pipelines.

There is basically no way you can actually choke off Chinese economy through sea blockades of energy imports once its this far along in electrification of is transportation sector. And that's assuming you can choke off its energy routes to Middle East, which is dubious since any such effort would actually destroy Japan & SK + most of southeast Asia, who do not have the option of turning to EVs or coal chemical plants or importing via pipeline/shipping from Russia & Central Asia. Any real blockade would blockade ASEAN countries as well as Eastern Asian ones from the necessary energy imputs to have their economies functioning. You will be facing off against a southeast Asia who would also be eager to break off any blockade and work with china to get around it in any way possible in order to not collapse economicaly before even China feels the heat. You basicaly surrender the entire region to China and even make sure Japan and SK cant and dont join you in any action

There is also the feasibility of such blockade in the first place. Striking a couple of ingoing and outgoing comersial ships to China wont do shit to make the roots stop, which in the first place would collapse the economies of every signle country in the erea before china even feels it. To actually be effective you would have to manage an actual blockade of Malacca and likely more than just that since there are alternative, albeit slightly longer, routes due to the fact Indonesia is an archipelago. There exists the Sunda Strait just to the south next to Java and the Lombok Strait further east. If the Strait of Malacca is blockaded, it would be trivial for ships to divert towards the Sunda Strait or the Lombok Strait and completely circumvent the American blockade so for an effective blockade, the USN would have to blockade all three straits. That's a lot of resources the USN needs to divert away from the actual battle happening in the Pacific towards a blockade that won't have much of an immediate impact on the actual battle happening.

The USN will have to question if implementing three blockades in Southeast Asia is an effective use of their very limited resources against an opponent which will have a massive local superiority in forces.. The US needs as many assets in the fight to even stand a chance as is, there is little point crippling the world economy even more and putting South Korea and Japan on ticking time bombs by blockading three straits in and around Indonesia.

You also cant trivialize the amount of resources required to screen tens of thousands of ships carrying trillions worth of trade. Not as in "please report your manifest so we can carry out mutually beneficial peacetime commerce" but "physically verify every ship is carrying what it says and going where it says because they have a huge profit motive to lie." And that's not even counting all the ships who actually do dock in SEA, but whose cargos go to China by rail. The ships have no control over what happens to their cargos after they offload. The other option is what . Striking ships that may or may not be going to any random port or country in the erea. A logistical impossibility. Never mind that the US cant actualy track most container ships either in port or out in the sea if they dont want to be tracked. Let alone know which are china bound. Ship-tracking satellites do not exist. This is a fantasy. Its difficult it is to keep track of even just a ship in the vast open ocean, let alone thousands of them.

The US also just cant sink the ships when they are close to dock in China or leave china. The USN will be lucky to even have a few ships survive within stand-off ranges from the Chinese coastline. South China Se is pretty much a complete no-go for the USN considering the shallow waters reduces the effectiveness of submarine stealth, and the thousands of air and see sensors China has littered the erea with. The entire sea is well within range of China's absolutely gargantuan stockpile of AShMs and is close enough to Chinese air bases that the PLARF will have a massive numerical superiority to any potential USAF/USN aerial assets in the region. I highly doubt the USN will have any SSNs to spare for patrols of the straits around Indonesia to begin with when they will be desperately needed in the Pacific. The USN is already dealing with a serious hull shortage even during peacetime. I don't understand how people can expect the USN to have multiple SSNs available for something like a blockade when they'll need every little bit of help they can get in the Pacific. A very limited number of American SSNs who will already be tasked with the monumental job of surviving China's massive and extensive ASW network of ships, helicopters, submarines, aircraft and land-based sensors whilst at the same time finding, targeting and engaging Chinese warships will now also be tasked with implementing a blockade and attacking any and all vessels in the region, exhausting their already limited torpedo and Tomahawk supplies. This does not seem like a very useful way to utilise the only USN assets that have a higher degree of survivability within 1,000 km of Chinese shores given that these assets will likely have an actual amphibious invasion that they will need to stop.

Cause again sea trade in the erea wont stop just because the US randomly strikes 2,5 or even 20 containers they can fet their sights on out of the 1000 per day heading from and to China, never mind that it would be a completely self defeating endeavor in the first place.

Actualy i heard its also a result of the CPC cracking down and bustinga lot of online scamming operations recently that where quite widespread and damaging especially in more remote parts of china and opperating with ethnic chinese in neighbouring countries like Myanmar . Thousands fled through and from neighbouring countries to excape the law and the US is a natural destination. Especially if they made some money already

most of these articles going around are a bit old (3-5 years) so ,while there hasnt been some big turnaround, the increase in youth support and younger lower level leadership has made the party move away from such messaging which to begin with was mostly the result of boomer voting base and boomer leadership and not any real material analysis. You can still classify the party positions as class reductionist and wishy washy on whether they would support same sex adoption if it came to vote again but there has been some reapproachment of the issue. For example the party secretary was a guest in the prominent greek LGBT radio show recently and the rhetoric has shifted. Still not great but for a party that has only survived to the strength and orthodoxy that it has through ossifying their position and beliefs and refusing to be swayed by left and right social and political currents change will be slow and comes with the changing of generations. Also greece has the east european deeply religious orthodox church brainworms that have stunned social progressivism in past social experiments to. They probably arent worse on lgbt issue than most second or third world communist parties at this point but since they are big players in domestic policies their positions became more openly contested and layed on the table.

https://www.902.gr/eidisi/politiki/326464/kathe-anthropos-me-opoia-taytotita-fyloy-na-ehei-oles-tis-proypotheseis this is a recent interview on lgbt issues by the party ,pretty understandable by google translation, that shows that while not good the positions have bettered and evolved compared to years past and of course inculde the standard positives that an Communist party should provide (free and accessible trans healthcare even at young ages including hormone therapy and sex change for example).

these unarmed chinese college students must have been built like Baki characters since 40 PLA soldiers and police officers died in the clashes