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this post was submitted on 11 Oct 2023
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chapotraphouse
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Mexico would get steamrolled.
Keep in mind that while the US spends all your college and healthcare funds on its military, a substantial part of it is probably grifts like the F-35. Expensive toys that will serve completely impractical in combat and mostly serve to grift investors and the government. Also aircraft carriers lmao.
I don't think Mexico would win, but it would be costly for Americans and it would be the closest they ever got to a war on home turf. The American population wouldn't like it, I don't think.
Looking at how frothing liberals are getting from white people dying in Israel right now, I can't fucking imagine what would happen to the liberal mind if a Mexican bomb hit El Paso killing dozens
Frankly, I'd be more worried about what would happen to anyone who happens to even look Mexican within the US if a war were to break out. Some chud's third cousin he never met died in a Walmart bombing and suddenly he's out looking to murder anyone who looks like they speak Spanish. You guys remember that one video posted a couple weeks ago where some FreedomFreikorps were driving around with guns in their SUVs looking for an alleged "illegal alien" spotted about?
Mexico city would be flattened and the Mexican government would surrender, but Mexico is huge. You'd never pacify the whole country at any given time, it'd be another forever war with pockets of guerillas constantly popping up and the US military trying to play whack-a-mole
...I didn't initially intend for the mole pun there but you can read it that way if you want
That is the real goal of most US wars. The machine needs to be fed and the US economy needs that type of war to be happening at all times. Over 90% of US history has had that type of war ongoing, the US economy is built around it. What's scary is when the US doesn't have that type of war ongoing because it means they have to create such a war. We joke about the US going to war with Mexico but that is only because everyone knows deep down that as Ukraine fizzles out the US needs to find a fresh military frontier to feed the machine that hasn't already been turned to rubble.
My bet is either Iran or Mexico. Very worst case is idiots who actually believe their own bullshit decide to go for China and everyone dies in nuclear fire. Other option I guess is the US can't find a new military frontier and has a second civil war, which is just as bad as war with China because civil wars are vicious and undoubtedly the sides would eventually launch all their nuclear weapons rather than accept defeat.
I agree that this is America's usual MO but what's different this time around is that for the first time since 1945 there's a credible movement to dedollarize and move away from the USD as the world's reserve currency. Military spending is macroeconomicly just like any other type of government consumption in that it has to be paid for. Previously America printed USD to cover the cost, knowing that the rest of the world would eat the inflation instead of the US. It seems like America might be reaching the limits of that with it's debt problems and dedollarization. The next war might be one war too far.
The US has really never had to contend with guerilla infiltration that could happen nearly anywhere along one of the longest land borders in the world. Maybe if they turn all of the border and inner gulf into a minefield.
I don't know about that
If
weren't so overextended and it was just about military might then sure but things aren't so simple and I could see the whole country fracturing into some kind of waring states period if not outright revolution should the contradictions keep heightening