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this post was submitted on 01 Feb 2024
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chapotraphouse
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iirc Biden’s margin in Michigan in 2020 was smaller than the number of Muslim voters that voted for him. By alienating a single demographic, he’ll lose the state.
If he loses the election, it will have been entirely an unforced error on his part. Of course Democrats will never acknowledge that though.
He won by 150,000 votes, and Michigan has ~240,000 Muslims that can legally vote. A lot of them probably won't vote, just like how most people won't vote in general, but according to polls 83% percent of them voted for Biden (64% nationally, interestingly, but it was different groups doing the polling). If he lost the Muslim vote, he would have to have every other demographic stay at the same level of support as 2020 to pull a win, but support for Biden is pretty low in general.
They're going to scold Muslim voters for the next 4 years and tell them they're the reason Trump is president.
They're innovating
Hilary arguably lost because of her dumbass not campaigning places she should have (beyond the whole 'being a narcissistic natsec ghoul and husk of a human being')
Biden is gonna lose because he is campaigning against himself
It really was a catch 22 for Hillary.
Not campaigning in a state makes it pretty obvious you don't give a shit.
Unfortunately every time she did campaign somewhere, or do anything really, her poll numbers went down.
I feel like people don't fully remeber or appreciate the fact her strategy for the last 3 months of the election was for her staff to lock her in a basement so she stopped pissing off potential voters.
Biden really is inverting her
Being out and about and aggressively trying to piss off voters
Rather than acknowledge it they'll just write it off and not campaign there and the get very angry at anybody that points that out