every year or two, we get another country or leader that thinks that they'll be the intelligent, crafty ones to finally manage to make a deal that puts them in front and disadvantages the Americans and high-mindedly thinks they're saving their country from war and bloodshed, and inevitably, the US and their allies take advantage of every single tiny little point or loophole in that deal until they break it when the time is right for them to do so.

and all anti-imperialist forces seem to do is bleat about how that's "unfair" and that these diplomatic tricks are somehow a) new and b) portend the downfall of the West because other nations will see how unfair the US is, when in reality breaking deals might actually be the oldest things that the Americans have done, right from the inception of the state as a British colony, and are partially the reason that they ascended to world hegemon in the first place

I really hope that Iran has spent the last year or so preparing as much as possible, because if not, it demonstrates that there's just some fundamental naiveity that prevents the anti-imperialist camp from observing a conflict and going "hm, gee, negotiations and diplomacy didn't work there! guess I can't do that with the US in good faith!" and millions, maybe even tens of millions may die before they, as you say, harden their hearts

Your opponents are agreement incapable.

This really is, like, one of the most consequential takeaways of the 21st century. That the west does not make reliable agreements nor does it keep it's word. It's extremely obvious that the west's opponents will now all begin to think like this, yet the mere idea of that is completly absent from mainstream media, somehow they still represent tje west's opponents as the inflexible ones.

I think you can probably still make some kind of deal, the ukraine war will probably end in a deal, china will still be seeking deals, but it'd be stupid to immediatly come to the table when the west tells you and not play hard to get, and even stupider to not get strong guarantees as well as some type of sanction for when the west breaks them or disregards them

I genuinly don't understand how any single world leader can still think about negotiating with the west. It's a death sentence and they just walk right into it and doom us all.

Look into what Palestine Action do in the UK and how they gather intelligence. You can scout facilities out, keep an eye on what goes in and out, and figure out which companies are working with which. Enough people doing this for long enough and working together could gather a lot of information on the arms production network within the US. The arms manufacturers themselves are usually hard targets and have insurance, but their insurers, suppliers, cleaners, etc etc are not, and it's often easier for them to cancel a contract rather than facing being targeted by an anti-arms trade campaign. Do this consistently for long enough, and it starts to become materially harder for arms firms to conduct their business - fewer companies will work with them, security costs go up, etc.

Found one anyway.

Missile Factory in Arkansas Raytheon partnered with Israeli defense contractor Rafael in February to construct a Tamir missile facility in Arkansas to support US and Israeli warhead requirements.

The Tamir is among the primary missiles used by Tel Aviv’s Iron Dome.

The center, which will be built in East Camden, will also manufacture the Tamir’s American variant SkyHunter for the US and its allies.

Plans for the Arkansas factory were first announced in October 2023.
https://thedefensepost.com/2024/04/25/raytheon-expands-missile-factor-alabama/

L3Harris (formerly Raytheon Technologies) assembles SM-6 missiles in Camden. The Aerojet Rocketdyne facility in Camden manufactures their propulsion systems.
https://www.magnoliareporter.com/news_and_business/ouachita_county/article_ae76c556-2c95-4b56-96aa-e0fac2201efc.html

So there are either multiple factories here, or they're expanding one big one they have to make multiple missile types. Looking it up on Apple Maps it seems pretty small and desolate minus a bunch of factory/warehouse-like buildings from satellite images I'm seeing.

Edit: oh yeah, the other post with the maps is better and has the factories in East Camden listed out, seemingly. There are multiple factories here. I guess it makes sense since this place only seems to have a university, weapons manufacturing, and seemingly little else. Not sure how many weapons manufacturing company towns there are in rural US, but yeah.

SM-3 interceptors, the kind used by Israel, can only be produced in very small quantities. The US produced 71 in 2023.

It's not the same missile, Israel use their own version called Arrow 3. But it gives an idea.

Found this posted here last year

map of the main companies and subcontractors on US DoD contracts for weapons/platforms/etc that isra*l is using in Palestine and elsewhere.

https://xcancel.com/squarecoats1/status/1857783112324841626

yup, Israel really banked on the war being over as quickly as it started, or at least dragging the US into it immediately by gloating about "coordination". I dont think they ever expected to crack any of the strategic nuclear sites in Iran, but do just enough damage and strike just enough panic into the Iranian political class to get them to back down.

Pezeshkian is known to have been an opponent to True Promise II and part of why True Promise III never materialised before now. There are other moderates who equally didnt want to escalate the confrontation, hence the negotiations with Trump. However, it appears these moderates have backed down.

I don't know about any of this. I don't think any of what you list here is particularly rare or in short supply. Iron dome or whatever missiles? Maybe, but jet fuel and pilots? That's stretching it.

As for intelligence agencies "resources" you may as well make the point if this stuff isn't meant to be used at some crucial moment like right now then when is it ever meant to be used?

It reminds me of this ProZd classic

I'm not well versed on imperial military logistics, but don't they move assets to the Middle East from there?

What a weird, seemingly obvious, and non-actionable thing to say.

I speculate that paramedics are being harassed when they are unable to save the life of a bombed person. Probably Israelis are starting protests against the ambulance service for their failures at magically reassembling a human. So now Ambulance has to explain to people that they live in physical bodies and are vulnerable just like everyone else.

Ambulance? Shelter? Both are a military target according to

how long does it take for one of these to touch down after being launched?

This is the best video so far.