I retired just in time. Even in public service, I was under constant pressure to use more AI, but "all your code should be handwritten." Sheesh.
I unfortunately work with AI and actually understand how it works. It's going to replace workers the same way that cocaine replaces workers.
It'll make some knowledge workers moderately more productive but that excess will be absorbed like with any other tool and we'll just do more shit as a society at the expense of continuing to destroy the environment.
Once the bubble bursts and things calm down there will probably be some job growth as the economy figures out how to better utilize these new tools. It's like if you invented a machine that could frame 60% of a house and brilliantly declared you'd fire all the framers but then realized you're now building a lot of houses and need more framers than before to finish the remaining 40%.
Everything written by AI boosters tracks much more clearly if you simply replace "AI" with "cocaine".
I shall demonstrate!
(Not linking to OP, because it's trash.)
"Let’s pretend you’re the only person at your company using cocaine.
You decide you’re going to impress your employer, and work for 8 hours a day at 10x productivity. You knock it out of the park and make everyone else look terrible by comparison. [...]
In this scenario, you capture 100% of the value from your adopting cocaine."
IMO, the only thing to be taken seriously with text generators should be natural language processing.
The problem is that even with things like this, it frequently fails because it hyperfixates on some details while completely glossing over others, and it's completely random if it does that or if it's good, and this uncertainty basically necessitates that you check everything it outputs, negating much of the productivity that you gain.
I once used it for a Python script, and I used one part out of three generations only. One regex function ended up in my real script, but I got the idea to use regex from it. And I used its output, which actually worked.
make some knowledge workers moderately more productive but that excess will be absorbed
That seems to result in a higher burn out rate. The worker had to do more soul crushing check and verify work instead of doing knowledge work.
It'll frame the whole house well enough for the layman but 40% will fail code compliance
You are thinking of office work, but there are a LOT of jobs that will be permanently replaced by AI-driven robotics, like fast food workers, retail shelf stockers, drivers, warehouse work, etc. Those are workers that can't be easily trained UP, and many will likely become permanently unemployed.
I don't buy that. There's little reason to automate those jobs because the labor is so cheap. And as someone who has worked most of those jobs in the past, most of those workers could be easily trained for different jobs; most are actively taking it upon themselves to train to get out of them.
My manager has gone 100% into AI where he might have been slightly skeptical at first, it's slightly scary, I see many of the benefits of modern AI, specially in helping me deal with my ADHD, but I feel like what differentiates me from the masses is gone. Middling coding skills, doesn't matter, ability to recall obscure knowledge I read or learned about years ago, doesn't matter, why would I be a valued employee while still having to deal with the negative side effects of ADHD? On top of that, immigrants getting hunted for sport on the streets, I'm not doing too good.
I keep hearing how Claude is so much better and I need to try it. Furthermore, last night I had an AI Expert spend an hour telling me how Claude could just do things by itself and how great it is.
So I paid the money got Claude. I gave it a task to summarize a bunch of press releases and put them into a newsletter. After spending a lot of time getting the formatting, perfect I went to fact check what had been written.
About a third of it was totally hallucinated
This was today
All it had to do was read press releases and make a summary and it couldn’t do that without hallucinating a bunch of fake DEI facts that just weren’t true
So I tried to give it the task of verifying all of its declared statements and it ran out of juice so I have to wait till it resets.
Seriously, idk why no one is talking about this.
I’m not even demanding action, just talking about how we went through bad economic times, faced inflation just to arrive at this dystupidia hellscape.
Like if AI is gonna replace jobs (regardless of its capability), why the fuck are we not talking about UBI and VAT.
Where is Andrew Yang when you need him (not supporting him, just that this seems like a better moment for him than 6 years ago).
The future is in agentic AI with a single developer for code review. Management tells the developer what they want, developer engineers the prompt, gives it to the AI agent that has complete access to the relevant projects and DB schema. It generates a change log, and the developer reviews it, asking for changes as needed.
Huge teams are about to be consolidated, with a huge inflow of software engineers into the unemployment bin, and entire downstream economies are going to collapse from the resulting unemployment of previously high paying careers. We need Universal Basic Income yesterday.
constantly reviewing low quality work. kill me now.
what godawful boring job that would be. I'd have absolutely no motivation to do it well
It's only low quality until it isn't. Have you used Gemin 3.1 Proi lately? Anthropic's Opus 4.6?
Everything looks like low-quality crap when you only use the free models from Microsoft and OpenAI. But I suspect you haven't utilized the paid, professional models if you hold that opinion.
Sorry, missed this was in ShitPost. Please, allow me to revise: Dang clankers, Deytükurjerbs!
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