186

A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is one of many rallies in Iran in support of the government and the leadership.


short summary here, longish summary in spoiler tags below: Western standoff munition stockpiles now substantially depleted, therefore Western aircraft activity directly over Iran increasing (as is footage of attempted and actual hits against them) as the US attempts to transition more to using bombs dropped directly onto targets, Iran is increasingly in the driver's seat and controlling the conflict, world economy is fucked and yet could still get much worse very soon, if you require a car to live (especially if it's not electric) and cannot work from home then you have my sincere condolences

longish summary hereWhile I've seen several estimates on the current stockpiles of US and Zionist missiles and interceptors - somewhere in the realm of a third depleted, perhaps even up to half - it seems like we're reaching the point at which the US does not want to commit even more standoff munitions and is trying their luck against the Iranian air defense network directly.

We have already seen footage of Iran attempting to shoot down, and sometimes actually striking Western fifth generation planes like the F-35, and more footage along those lines is appearing for other plane models (with one side claiming that they evaded interception and the other claiming they hit it, etc etc, propaganda is everywhere, you know the drill). How much the US is willing to test their planes against Iranian air defense is a matter of debate. Strictly speaking, a few fighter jets and bombers shot down would be no catastrophic loss in the grand scheme of things, as the US has hundreds. However, the narrative of such a thing would be quite bad for the US - "You're telling me an OBLITERATED Iranian military can shoot down some of our most advanced equipment?? What are we gonna do against China?!" - and given Trump's deranged jingoistic rhetoric aimed to buoy markets, it's clear that he cares very deeply about narratives. Additionally, with Chinese exports of several critical metals to the US banned, the prospect of replacing these aircraft (and indeed the standoff munitions and the interceptors and the ground radars etc) is looking questionable.

All the while, Iran continues its strikes across the Middle East. Missile and drone strikes are reportedly on the uptick again, demonstrating that Iranian military capabilities have by no means been "destroyed" as Western propaganda claim, though it's impossible to sure there was ever a significant downtick due to Western censorship and outright fabrications. People around the world are gradually realizing the magnitude of the economic disaster that is occurring and may yet occur. Refineries and factories which deal with oil and gas directly are starting to slow down or stop production, and those who make products downstream of those are starting to follow them like dominoes. Outrage at gas station prices is rising, and many countries are considering limiting civilian driving and implementing work-from-home policies akin to the coronavirus pandemic. And now, threats are being made by Trump against both Kharg Island (where most Iranian oil is shipped from) and the Iranian electrical grid - which is highly decentralized and would require a prolonged bombing campaign to completely take out -and the promised Iranian reprisal would be apocalyptic to the Middle East. It would make oil prices rise to previously unfathomable heights as oil infrastructure turned off and remained off for months, perhaps years, and set in motion one of the world's greatest humanitarian catastrophes as the desalination necessary for tens of millions of people is shut down. It would also not be a symmetrical problem, as Iran does not rely on desalination for its water supply.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 79 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Per discussion in this thread, there are mixed views on the posting of Iranian AI slop. Some are for an exception to the rule because these are posted by the Iranian government, because they aren't trying to look like real video, and because they are fun. Others don't want AI slop period or don't want to set a precedent of seeing US government AI slop videos.

Here's a compromise from the war on drugs: let's try decriminalizing the posting of resistance AI slop. Go ahead and post resistance AI slop, but keep it to a dull roar, nothing that is supposed to look real, and it'd better be high quality slop. As AI slop memes get played or if this kind of trash clogs up the comm, we can revisit. Please continue to report AI slop that people feel doesn't meet the intent above.

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[-] jack@hexbear.net 142 points 1 month ago

France has denied airspace

Italy is denying use of airbases to US military

NATO IS COMING APART FOR REAL Y'ALL, THANK YOU ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF IRAN, THANK YOU MARTYR SINWAR, THANK YOU BRAVE PEOPLE OF PALESTINE AND LEBANON

DEATH TO ISRAEL DEATH TO AMERICA DEATH TO IMPERIALISM

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 134 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

https://xcancel.com/wyattreed13/status/2036471596315979974

Incredible quotes in the deleted Telegraph article about the Lebanese Christians supporting Hezbollah. I wonder why they didn’t want their audience to read this 🤔

(cw: mentions of SA)

The article The Telegraph censored from their page is still available via MSN currently: https://archive.ph/Lkh8k

another great quote

“The relationship between the village and Hezbollah is stronger than with the Pope,” Rifiat Nasrallah, 60, a quarryman and village leader whose marble sarcophagi line the village cemetery, told The Telegraph during a visit in the midst of war. “The Vatican did nothing for us but Hezbollah spilt their blood to protect us. The Pope only has prayers.”

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 132 points 1 month ago

https://xcancel.com/clashreport/status/2037215388753174559

BIG: In a leaked cabinet recording, Israeli Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir warned that the IDF is nearing a breaking point after prolonged conflict. “I am raising ten red flags,” Zamir told ministers, stressing the urgent need for new laws on conscription, reserves, and extended service. “The reserves will not be able to hold out under these dramatic circumstances,” he added, warning that “it won’t be long before the IDF is no longer fit for even routine security missions.” Source: N12

nicholson-yes

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[-] TheLastHero@hexbear.net 130 points 1 month ago

"Israel" plans to annex southern Lebanon up to the Litani River. In response, the Lebanese government... expels the Iranian ambassador.

is anyone more cucked than the Lebanese Army?

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[-] HarryLime@hexbear.net 128 points 2 months ago

sounds like things are great

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[-] Clippy@hexbear.net 121 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)
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[-] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 118 points 2 months ago

If trump needs a W he should simply give up on Iran and go back to annex Greenland. The Europeans will simply roll over, it would be so much easier

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[-] ThomasMuentzer@hexbear.net 118 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Iraq has decleared its entry into the War on the Side of Iran.

This comes after the US as retreated from all of its possition (including green zone) negotiated a 5 day ceasefire , then used this ceasefire to do a bombing run on a PMU leadership gathering)

reach-left saddam-hussein grabber-right

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[-] stink@lemmygrad.ml 117 points 2 months ago

⭕️ Israeli occupation forces torture toddler in Gaza to force confession from detained father

Israeli occupation forces detained a 1.5-year-old child, Kareem Abu Nassar, in central Gaza and subjected him to abuse in front of his father, Osama Abu Nassar, in an attempt to extract confessions. 

The father was stopped near Al-Maghazi during military operations, separated from his son, stripped, and interrogated at a checkpoint.

According to medical reports, the child was tortured while in custody, including being burned with cigarettes and pierced with a metal nail in his leg, as soldiers pressured the father during interrogation. The incident occurred after the family was caught in gunfire near their home.

Kareem was released after approximately 10 hours and returned to his family through the International Red Cross, while his father remains in detention.

(Quds News Network)

https://t.me/thecradlemedia/55252

The images are horrifying. Every zionist deserves a bullet in their head.

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[-] SovietCollie@hexbear.net 117 points 1 month ago

🚨🇺🇸 BREAKING — Trump Admits Socialism Works

"I have to say, I respect China, because it’s incredible that with a system that, in theory, shouldn’t work—you know, we go to school, we go to the best business schools, we do well in those schools, and we read about free entrepreneurship, and we read about all these different things—

But if you look at China, how well they do, how much they produce. I mean, they produce so many cars that they actually have competitions over who can produce the fewest cars because they have so many cars.

You have to have great respect for China for the work they do. Whether you like them or not, you have to respect them."

Source

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[-] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 114 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

https://x.com/i/status/2037207892890206283

https://xcancel.com/i/status/2037207892890206283

I also think it would be a good idea to concentrate all of the Iranian diaspora willing to fight on one of the small islands off Iran's coast that all happen to be within Iranian missile range.

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[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 112 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Yesterday, OpenAI published a blog post about safety standards for Sora, their stupid AI video platform that was still steadily growing.

Today, they are abandoning Sora. Looks like they are running low on cash and can't keep this money loser going. Disney announced that they pulled their $1bn investment into OpenAI, but in the announcement they basically said that they never delivered the $1bn anyway.

In other news, JPMorgan is building new Credit Default Swap facilities (CDO) to let clients bet against Google, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft & Oracle. Basically, this allows everyone holding AI debt to bet against their own positions to soften the expected losses.

It might be really happening! But probably faster than last time.

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 112 points 2 months ago

https://xcancel.com/ripplebrain/status/2035794662170976464

@washingtonpost: Gas prices have risen dramatically in Pueblo, Colorado, and its surrounding area. “I can either choose gas or food, but I coach kids’ sports, and I need gas to get there, so I guess I’m not eating,” said one resident.

Americans will be confronted with the choice of having gas or food and will choose gas every time. The non-American mind cannot comprehend this. You will find our emaciated corpses hands still at the wheel of our trucks, engines on and running

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 110 points 2 months ago

Cuba has received aid from: China, Brazil, Mexico and Russia. And also leftists, including Hasan Piker, visited the island and brought aid to them. Russia is sending oil to Cuba again. Venezuela, Nicaragua, South Africa, Belarus, Serbia, Vietnam, DPRK, Colombia and Uruguay have all given diplomatic support to Cuba.

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[-] SovietCollie@hexbear.net 110 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Israeli Minister Itamar Ben Gvir calls for the assassination of Ahmad Al-Shara (Al-Jolani).

“The new Syrian president must be killed—he is the head of the snake. The battle with the new Syria is a fateful one for Israelis, and it is coming.”

Source

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[-] Leegh@hexbear.net 109 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Volkswagen to shift from cars to missile defence in deal with Israel’s Iron Dome maker

Venture between carmaker’s Osnabrück plant and Rafael Advanced Defence Systems part of plan to save 2,300 jobs

Under the plans, the Osnabrück factory would make various Iron Dome parts, including the heavy-duty trucks that carry the system’s missiles as well as launchers and electricity generators. But it would not produce the projectiles themselves.

“The aim is to save everybody, maybe even to grow,” said one of the people familiar with the plans. The idea, he added, was that “proven [defence] tech comes together with German manufacturing” to produce the system. 

Looks like Volkswagen is returning to their Nazi roots.

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[-] woodenghost@hexbear.net 108 points 1 month ago

US Killed Children in Iran Using New Missile That Scatters Pellets Explosively

This is about the attack that killed teenage girls in their gymnasium on the same first day of the war, when the elementary school was hit.

Here's a dark thought: maybe, that's why they did attack right there. They wanted to test their new terror weapon and make sure the images and descriptions of the damage would be public. If they only hit military targets, the images would not have been published.

[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 108 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

DropsiteNews;

Israel’s Channel 14 reports that Iranian officials believe ongoing “negotiations” may be an American intelligence effort aimed at gathering “precise information about leadership locations and decision-making centers.”

The report adds that this concern has led Tehran to avoid electronic communications and instead rely on field intermediaries to manage sensitive contacts.

Iran's Fars News Agency is reporting that should America undertake a military operation to re-open the Strait of Hormuz, that the UAE's Barakah nuclear power plant, the Jebel Ali desalination plant, and the MBR Solar Park, among other locations, will be targeted by Iran.

https://x.com/Seamus_Malek/status/2037286554582843805

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[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 108 points 1 month ago

Claims of Iran taking preemptive action against US troops in the region, I hope we get some real confirmation.

Six LCU military vessels belonging to American, which were responsible for amphibious operations and the transport of equipment and supplies, were hit in the port of Al Shyoukh in Dubai with Qadr-380 cruise missiles.

Iran has taken a surprise and preemptive strike on the island of ‘Bubiyan’, northeast of Kuwait, in the Persian Gulf. American and Israeli forces have taken positions on the island, believing that their movements are hidden from Iran. This is part of a preemptive strike on enemy forces in the Persian Gulf.

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 106 points 1 month ago

https://xcancel.com/MvD366445175239/status/2036502077011288107

It's really kind of underreported and unappreciated that the US just evacuated the Green Zone and Camp Victory after negotiating a ceasefire with local militias for this withdrawal. You'd think it would be a bigger deal that US forces have abandoned Iraq outside of Kurdish areas

If/when Russia evacuates it's bases in Syria , it would be heralded as the end of Russia as an imperial power. But when the US does it , it's nothing

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[-] HarryLime@hexbear.net 106 points 1 month ago
[-] kleeon@hexbear.net 96 points 1 month ago

all thanks to Iran, the only pro-gamer country in the world

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[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 105 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)
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[-] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 105 points 1 month ago
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[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 105 points 1 month ago

Mexican Navy activates EMERGENCY PROTOCOL to locate two sailboats carrying aid to Cuba after losing contact in the Caribbean

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[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 104 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Supposed F-18 laundry fire

A U.S. F-18 fighter jet has reportedly been hit by an air defense missile in Iran

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[-] CthulhusIntern@hexbear.net 104 points 2 months ago

You know that if the war causes the AI bubble to pop, there's going to be a New Type of Guy who's like "We could've had full automation or a singularity by now if it wasn't for Iran!"

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[-] sisatici@hexbear.net 104 points 1 month ago
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[-] joaomarrom@hexbear.net 103 points 1 month ago

FT:

Pete Hegseth’s broker looked to buy defence fund before Iran attack

The Nasdaq-listed IDEF fund has risen 28 per cent over the past year, but has not risen on the Middle East war, falling almost 13 per cent in the past month.

lmfao this mfer so stupid he can't even profit from insider info

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[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 102 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Iran supposedly hit the ICL Rotem chemical complex in Negev. Notable because it makes weapons for US & Israel and because it is another hit in the well protected Negev/Dimona region of Israel. As the interceptor supply decreases, we will surely see more hits there.

[edit] The facility also makes white phosphorus

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 102 points 1 month ago

https://xcancel.com/PawlowskiMario/status/2037198262185177466

Europe sent $750 million to US to support Ukraine with weapons from U.S. The Pentagon now plans to use that money to refill U.S. weapons stockpiles instead. (Most likely because of the war in Middle East) Even U.S. officials admit it’s unclear if European countries fully understood where the money would actually go. WTH is going on here?

neon-fell-for-it-evangelion

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[-] ClathrateG@hexbear.net 102 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)
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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 101 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

https://xcancel.com/ripplebrain/status/2036506024786464900

The Royal Navy (UK) is set to lead coalition efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, according to The Times. A plan led by the UK and France is under development to ensure the safe passage of merchant ships, but it will require the Americans, according to an official.

Beautiful euro newslop. Set to develop a plan to lead an effort. But it needs the Americans. So ambiguous and so many escape hatches no one will notice when nothing happens.

they're actually just doing Yes Minister bits IRL

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[-] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 101 points 1 month ago

TRUST THE PLAN:
https://xcancel.com/BenjaminNorton/status/2036309913774018586

For 40 years, Donald Trump pushed for war on Iran.

In 1987, Trump called to "take some of [Iran's] oilfields".

In 1988, Trump said he wanted the US to "take" Iran's Kharg island.

This is not something new that Israel forced him to do. Trump is a diehard, lifelong imperialist.

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[-] AlHouthi4President@lemmy.ml 101 points 1 month ago

The US bombed multiple Iranian University yesterday.

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 101 points 1 month ago

Ecuador is also suffering electricity blackouts despite facing no sanctions or siege, and despite being an oil producer. The neoliberal regime there has turned the country into a failed state. It now has the highest crime rate in the region and can't keep the lights on.

Ecuador was one of the region's strongest economies and 2nd lowest crime rate in South America during the period of leftist President Rafael Correa. Ever since the US puppet governments took over, the country has suffered a long and ongoing collapse. A tragedy.

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[-] companero@hexbear.net 100 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

1/ Iranian people demand complete and remorseful punishment of the aggressors. All Irainan officials stand firmly behind their supreme leader and people until this goal is achieved.

2/ No negotiations have been held with the US, and fakenews is used to manipulate the financial and oil markets and escape the quagmire in which the US and Israel are trapped.

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[-] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 100 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Latest Naked Capitalism article says basically all the same points that have been discussed here, like Trump extending the deadline due to his fear of Iran's response (and almost certainly not Iranian requests, as Iran still seems to not be communicating with the West at all), as well as the global economic damage caused by this war

Based on the current usage rates of munitions and publicly known figures, it's projected that the West will run out of several key weapons by the end of April (and some in just a week or two). For the Zionists, they'll be either fully or mostly out of Arrow 2/3 and David's Sling interceptors as well as their own supply of THAADs, as well as Blue Sparrow air-launched ballistic missiles and a few other kinds of missiles. The Gulf states will be out of THAADs and Patriots, and the US will be out of ATACMS + PrSM and their own operated THAADs. This is, of course, on top of their rapidly falling Tomahawk and JASSM supplies; they're something like 1/3 depleted in both cases (I've seen a lot of different numbers floating around, some higher and some lower than this) and it's unlikely that they'll want to use literally all of them given that current production rates are low.

I'm personally concluding that unless there's extreme rationing by the West on both the offensive and defensive front (AKA, just sitting there and not dealing significant damage to Iran and also not intercepting their missiles while the global economy continues to fall apart, which is synonymous with losing in my book), if Iran makes it to the end of April then there's really only four options remaining, each more unattractive than the last:

  1. Boots on the ground in some sense. Almost certainly not a major ground invasion like in the Iraq War (would take many months to set up and is probably outright impossible given how US transport capabilities have fallen since the early 2000s) but using the Marines and Special Ops is at least plausible. Could potentially have limited tactical victories - blowing up important targets that missiles can't get to, maybe killing certain figures - but hard to figure out how it could knit together into a strategic victory.

  2. Flying aircraft directly over Iranian territory to use their very plentiful supply of gravity+glide bombs. The combination of Iran demonstrably having the means to shoot down aircraft even on their border (at Chabahar most recently, a southern port city), refueling planes getting hit on the ground and sky, and Middle Eastern bases becoming ever more precarious to fly aircraft out of, and the sheer logistical/maintenance strain on the aircraft points to me that Western air missions are becoming much less frequent than at the beginning of the war, and that even under intense aerial punishment, Iran could gradually attrit the US air fleet to the point where the cost is simply seen as too great, especially as these planes are getting very hard to build with Chinese mineral restrictions.

  3. Nukes. What would happen after that is hard to predict, but it seems at least plausible to me given how deep and plentiful the missile cities are and how decentralized Iran is that Iran could have enough capability left over to second strike conventionally in such a way that Occupied Palestine and much of the Middle East becomes uninhabitable, especially as interception capability is now very low, and fossil fuel production there is brought to almost zero for many years, and then we're in even more unprecedented and hard to predict territory. The US might deem this a preferable option to accepting Iran's demands, though - better no Middle Eastern oil and gas at all than a petroyuan?

  4. Just sit there and do nothing while the global economy falls apart, denying Iran a victory in the "official" sense but otherwise taking constant hits from them; perhaps they try and go back to the regime change tack or maybe use whatever agents are left inside Iran to attempt to cause chaos.

The only other major thing to point out is that Yves has mentioned the debate over whether Marines will even be used, as Ken Klippenstein has recently said isn't going to happen. Others, like Larry Johnson, have essentially stated that even if the Marines aren't ready (and they might be, who outside the US military can say definitively?) then Special Ops are ready. It still remains very unclear where these Special Ops could be sent to have a meaningful impact. If anything, Kharg seems increasingly unlikely just because that's what the US keeps talking about doing and Trump loves feeling like he's expertly deceiving his foes, so others have suggested Qeshm Island, or Bandar Abbas, or Chabahar, or even somewhere more unexpected and dangerous like some sort of Iranian nuclear facility or missile city or something like that.

Personally, I think they're gonna try and coordinate a miniature shock-and-awe campaign where a lot of chaos happens simultaneously in a bunch of different places and hope that overwhelms Iran's ability to protect any one particular place, which would then... uh... well, it's still not really clear how that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz or meaningfully change Iran's demands, but it would look pretty impressive, potentially.

Given Trump's pattern of escalating after the markets close and then deescalating just before they open, I expect the next 48 hours or so to be a pretty chaotic time even by the standards of this war. Buckle in.

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 99 points 1 month ago

Brazil is sending a second ship with aid to Cuba.

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 99 points 1 month ago

https://xcancel.com/ripplebrain/status/2036643860663656613

Floods sweep through Saudi mercenary camps in Al-Wadi'ah, Yemen; reports indicate 50 dead and 200 injured so far.

Allah is destroying the enemies of Iran with tactical floods

Iran's proxy network now includes weather. Notify the UN.

Gulf states are now entering their Bolsonaro era, except instead of being hit with every obscure medical problem known to man they'll just keep getting hit with freak weather events over and over again bolso-pain

(although tbf, with climate change we'll all be entering that era soon enough)

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[-] SickSemper@hexbear.net 99 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

The spokesperson for the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters, in a message to the Arab and Islamic world, said:

“It's time to establish a security union without the United States and Israel."

"He emphasized in his message that the American and Israeli aggression against Iran reflects a new phase, and that Iran is at the forefront of defending the Islamic nation. He called for not relying on external powers and returning to the teachings of the Quran, stressing that the countries of the region do not need distant states to ensure their security, but rather they should establish a collective security system. He also announced Iran's readiness to establish a security and military union with the countries of the region without the presence of the United States and the Zionist entity."

https://t.me/nayaforiraq/64290

full speech

🇮🇷 Iran's Khatim Al-Anbiya Headquarters sends a new message to the Arab and Muslim people, calling for a security alliance without the US or "israel":

In the name of Allah, the Most Gracious, the Merciful.

To my fellow Muslims in the Arab world, the Islamic world has witnessed another Eid this year that is different from previous years. We are witnessing a new wave of crimes by the zionists and Americans against Iran, an important pillar of the Islamic world—a country that has always stood by those defending the Islamic nation against the zionist entity's aggression, especially regarding the oppressed Palestinian people. This has been proven time and time again through the sacrifices made and the direct confrontations faced in two wars.

However, the time has come to return to our roots. We, the Muslims, must turn to the word of Allah, the Quran: "Do not take them as allies until they emigrate in the cause of Allah. But if they turn away, then seize them and kill them wherever you find them and take not from among them any ally or helper."

Allah, Glory to Him, has clearly forbidden Muslims from handing over their affairs to the disbelievers and has commanded us not to hinge our hopes on the enemies of Allah and His Messenger. We, as an Islamic nation with deep-rooted civilizational power, a unified world holding onto Islamic principles and the Quran, must stand on our own two feet to ensure our future and the happiness of our coming generations.

O Muslim brothers, we absolutely do not need, in order to guarantee the security of our region, a country thousands of kilometers away from us. We do not need a country that views, according to its own statements, Islamic countries as a milking cow. We do not need a country that makes the security and interests of "israeli" its first and last concern, then sacrifices all other countries for its sake. We do not need a country that views Muslims as worthless beings, and sees nothing in them except what their land stores of wealth, oil, and gas.

What benefit has the U.S. brought you? If you are the ones facing the aggression of the zionist entity, will the Americans ever fire a single shot to defend you? We all Muslims still remember well how fragile and superficial alliances on the one hand, and the lack of a permanent force with strategic depth and armament independence on the other hand, were the reason for the Arabs' defeat before the occupying entity in the wars of 1967 and 1973.

As for today, Iran, by fulfilling that true promise, and by breaking the illusory image of the invincibility of America and the defeated zionist entity, has achieved the dream that has long haunted Muslims. Hence, the very logic of rationality and politics requires that we strive, in light of the system taking shape in the region, to establish a comprehensive security union. We must unite together to ensure our security and move towards a collective security pact based on Islam and the Quran as a reference, an axis, and a firm foundation.

So how did an alliance between Muslim countries and an arrogant, disbelieving state become easier than the unity of Muslims among themselves? Distancing from the Holy Quran and its teachings is the root of the calamities that have befallen the Islamic world today.

The Islamic Republic of Iran announces its readiness to establish a security and military union in the region, without the presence of the United States of America and the usurping zionist entity. Let us not forget the words of Allah Almighty in His clear Book, as He said: "So do not weaken and do not grieve, and you will be superior if you are [true] believers."

Peace be upon you and the mercy of Allah and His blessings.

https://t.me/Palresistmirror/89814

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[-] AlHouthi4President@lemmy.ml 99 points 1 month ago

Al-Manar's correspondent Ali Sheaib was martyred earlier today, alongside Al Mayadeen's correspondent Fatima Ftouni and her brother, in an Israeli aggression targeting their vehicle, clearly labeled "PRESS", in the southern Lebanese town of Jezzine.

For the past years, he had been one of the resounding voices reporting on the frontlines, caring little for Israeli threats against him, and surviving a number of Israeli aggressions that struck close to where he had been reporting.

One of Lebanon's most pre-eminent and most courageous war correspondents, martyr Ali Sheaib will be missed as a pioneer in delivering the message of resistance against "Israel" and all it stands for.

Al Mayadeen's correspondent to South Lebanon, Fatima Ftouni, was martyred earlier today in an Israeli airstrike that directly targeted journalists in the South covering the Israeli aggression on Lebanon. Fatima was in a vehicle clearly labeled "Press" alongside other journalists, including Al-Manar's Ali Sheaib.

Fatima was known and loved by all her colleagues, either from her time as an editor in Al Mayadeen Net, or as a correspondent for Al Mayadeen covering the Israeli war of aggression on South Lebanon.

Known for her bravery, steadfastness, and forever love for her profession and her constant desire to deliver the message of her people's resistance to the world, she will continue to live within our hearts for the joy she brought us all as a colleague with her warmth, and her dedication to her field.

This is not the first time that Al Mayadeen's correspondents have been targeted. Soon after "Israel" began its war on Lebanon, Al Mayadeen's correspondent Farah Omar and Cameraman Rabih Me'mari were martyred in an Israeli aggression on November 21, 2023.

Al Mayadeen's Ghassan Najjar and Mohammad Reda were also martyred in another Israeli attack on journalists on October 25, 2024.

This is part of "Israel's" systematic attacks on journalists. In the past three years, "Israel" has killed hundreds of journalists across the region, all in an attempt to prevent the broadcasting of the reality of its crimes.

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[-] ghosts@hexbear.net 99 points 1 month ago

Whitehouse Press Secretary:

"The president's preference is always peace. There doesn't need to be anymore death and destruction. But if Iran fails to accept the reality of the current moment, if they fail to understand that they have been defeated militarily and will continue to be, President Trump will ensure that they are hit harder than they've ever been hit before. President Trump does not bluff and he is prepared to unleash hell. Iran should not miscalculate again. Their last miscalculation cost them their senior leadership, their navy, their airforce, and their air defense system."

I'm convinced this is performance art. chefs-kiss

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[-] SickSemper@hexbear.net 98 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Something crazy happening in southern Lebanon (Taybeh, Qantara, Debil). Over a dozen merkavas blown up, ambushes, and rescue forces are having difficulty extracting the casualties. Apparently a battalion commander was also wounded

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[-] AltMaarri@hexbear.net 98 points 1 month ago

Good article, outlined by Naked Capitalism, about the modern US forces' military and industrial capabilities and the fact that many of the assets being forcefully and explosively decommissioned by Iran simply cannot be replaced:

America's Military Is Never Coming Back From This

I also really like the tone. A few quotes (the whole article is good, really):

People talk about how Iran is a ‘second-tier military’ but they ain't Iraq and this ain't Desert Storm. This is Desert Shitstorm and Iran is not just a peer military to 'America's', they are demonstrably superior. Just look at the scoreboard, which isn't school massacres but military targets. Behold, then, 'American' airframes burning in the sun while Iran's rockets are safe underground. The White Empire stood astride the Middle East like Colossus, but now they lie there in a wreck, colossal morons.

What I want you to understand is that the US military is never coming back from this. There are no modern replacements for these refuelers and control systems. The NGAS is a render and the E-7 Wedgetail was cancelled. They simply don't make ‘em like they used to anymore. As the meme template goes, “My father is a builder. We were in [Prince Sultan Air Base] I asked him what it would cost to build [an E-3 Sentry] today. I will never forget his answer… ‘We can’t, we don’t know how to do it.’”

The White press keeps saying these planes are worth millions or billions which is missing the point. They cannot make these planes anymore, these assets are effectively priceless.

'America' certainly cannot rebuild their ground-based radar in the Gulf, that's all returned to the rare earths whence it came from. For example, Iran has turned the FPS-132s in Qatar into First-Person-Shooter 404. [...] These radars are never being rebuilt because even if 'America' could (they can't), they would need resources from China (they won't), and permission from Iran (they don't). It is pointless talking about the dollar value of these assets, as the White media does. This is like calculating the dollar value of Mona Lisa after rolling, smoking, and roaching it—Da Vinci is dead, his paint was discontinued lead, and it'll just get lit up again. These radars are never coming back again, and they can't be bought in colonial cash. The only currency in the Strait of Hormuz is yuan, that USD is in the past.

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[-] oliveoil@hexbear.net 98 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Last night there was a crash of an Air Canada plane with a firetruck in the US at LaGuardia airport.

There was a single air traffic controller, who was also forced to be ground traffic controller, and apparently they made the guy keep working for an hour after the crash.

Both pilots died. The firetruck looks like transformers brand spaghetti.

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[-] marxisthayaca@hexbear.net 97 points 2 months ago

I think we should start tracking American election shenanigans -California sheriff running for governor seizes more than a half million ballots from 2025 election .

I'll be honest folks, I don't think we are voting our way out of this one.

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[-] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 97 points 2 months ago

Damn, can't believe trump was lying

⚡️🚨 BREAKING: USA-Israel bomb Iranian energy infrastructure

Fars agency:

The United States and "Israel" targeted energy facilities in Isfahan and Khorramshahr

The targets included the gas administration building and a pressure reduction station in Isfahan, as well as a gas pipeline belonging to a power plant in Khorramshahr. These facilities and nearby homes were damaged without any human casualties.

https://xcancel.com/ME_Observer_/status/2036235528623051207#m

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this post was submitted on 22 Mar 2026
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