167

A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is one of many rallies in Iran in support of the government and the leadership.


short summary here, longish summary in spoiler tags below: Western standoff munition stockpiles now substantially depleted, therefore Western aircraft activity directly over Iran increasing (as is footage of attempted and actual hits against them) as the US attempts to transition more to using bombs dropped directly onto targets, Iran is increasingly in the driver's seat and controlling the conflict, world economy is fucked and yet could still get much worse very soon, if you require a car to live (especially if it's not electric) and cannot work from home then you have my sincere condolences

longish summary hereWhile I've seen several estimates on the current stockpiles of US and Zionist missiles and interceptors - somewhere in the realm of a third depleted, perhaps even up to half - it seems like we're reaching the point at which the US does not want to commit even more standoff munitions and is trying their luck against the Iranian air defense network directly.

We have already seen footage of Iran attempting to shoot down, and sometimes actually striking Western fifth generation planes like the F-35, and more footage along those lines is appearing for other plane models (with one side claiming that they evaded interception and the other claiming they hit it, etc etc, propaganda is everywhere, you know the drill). How much the US is willing to test their planes against Iranian air defense is a matter of debate. Strictly speaking, a few fighter jets and bombers shot down would be no catastrophic loss in the grand scheme of things, as the US has hundreds. However, the narrative of such a thing would be quite bad for the US - "You're telling me an OBLITERATED Iranian military can shoot down some of our most advanced equipment?? What are we gonna do against China?!" - and given Trump's deranged jingoistic rhetoric aimed to buoy markets, it's clear that he cares very deeply about narratives. Additionally, with Chinese exports of several critical metals to the US banned, the prospect of replacing these aircraft (and indeed the standoff munitions and the interceptors and the ground radars etc) is looking questionable.

All the while, Iran continues its strikes across the Middle East. Missile and drone strikes are reportedly on the uptick again, demonstrating that Iranian military capabilities have by no means been "destroyed" as Western propaganda claim, though it's impossible to sure there was ever a significant downtick due to Western censorship and outright fabrications. People around the world are gradually realizing the magnitude of the economic disaster that is occurring and may yet occur. Refineries and factories which deal with oil and gas directly are starting to slow down or stop production, and those who make products downstream of those are starting to follow them like dominoes. Outrage at gas station prices is rising, and many countries are considering limiting civilian driving and implementing work-from-home policies akin to the coronavirus pandemic. And now, threats are being made by Trump against both Kharg Island (where most Iranian oil is shipped from) and the Iranian electrical grid - which is highly decentralized and would require a prolonged bombing campaign to completely take out -and the promised Iranian reprisal would be apocalyptic to the Middle East. It would make oil prices rise to previously unfathomable heights as oil infrastructure turned off and remained off for months, perhaps years, and set in motion one of the world's greatest humanitarian catastrophes as the desalination necessary for tens of millions of people is shut down. It would also not be a symmetrical problem, as Iran does not rely on desalination for its water supply.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 79 points 3 days ago

https://xcancel.com/PawlowskiMario/status/2037198262185177466

Europe sent $750 million to US to support Ukraine with weapons from U.S. The Pentagon now plans to use that money to refill U.S. weapons stockpiles instead. (Most likely because of the war in Middle East) Even U.S. officials admit it’s unclear if European countries fully understood where the money would actually go. WTH is going on here?

neon-fell-for-it-evangelion

[-] Enjoyer_of_Games@hexbear.net 50 points 3 days ago

I have altered the deal, pray I do not alter it further.

[-] red_giant@hexbear.net 37 points 3 days ago

The USA is legally allowed to do this because of a clause in the contract that says “what the fuck you gonna do about it?”

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 64 points 3 days ago

https://xcancel.com/QBCCIntegrity/status/2037145536109961486

China has cut Australia off for Jet A1 fuel (kerosene), all of next months shipments cancelled. Normally 12/month. There’s one ship inbound. That’s it. China is Australia’s largest Jet Fuel supplier.

How much jet fuel does Australia have in emergency stores? I'm guessing China has cancelled the shipments to prioritise their own requirements

A few weeks.

[-] joaomarrom@hexbear.net 44 points 3 days ago

it's more politically expedient for the Australian government to continue being openly hostile to the bloody Choyneez, cultivating a convenient foreign adversary to score political points while your entire country depends on your supposed enemy's industrial infrastructure

I'm talking about Australia here, but actually this applies to most of the West, and it's so tiresome

[-] Infamousblt@hexbear.net 34 points 3 days ago

Why did they do this? Is it because shortages mean China needs to keep what they have on hand or is China punishing Australia for something?

[-] jack@hexbear.net 42 points 3 days ago

Probably the former with the latter as a bonus. Australia always deserves punishment for something.

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 61 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

lol. lmao https://archive.ph/MEUh3 (machine-translated)

USA circumvents Swiss payment freeze for Patriot air defense system

  • Switzerland stopped payments for the Patriot air defense system in the fall because delivery has been delayed by years.
  • Research by SRF now shows: The payment freeze is ineffective.
  • The US is diverting large amounts of Swiss fighter jet money and using it for Patriot.

more

It was intended as leverage: In September, Switzerland halted payments for the Patriot air defense system. It didn't work. Since then, the US has simply been siphoning off the money Switzerland transfers for the F-35 fighter jet. Defense chief Urs Loher confirms the investigation. He also told SRF the exact sum that the US has already diverted from the fighter jet program to the Patriot missile system. However, under pressure from US authorities, he is no longer allowed to disclose the amount. "It's a low three-figure million-franc sum," is all Loher will say. He is referring to well over 100 million Swiss francs.

The "fine print" makes it possible

The US is circumventing the payment freeze by diverting funds for the Patriot fighter jet program. How is this possible? In the US, arms deals with foreign countries always go through the government – ​​specifically, through the Foreign Military Sales Program (FMS). The US maintains a fund within the FMS framework for all Swiss arms purchases. Whether it's for the F-35 or the Patriot: all Swiss payments end up in this fund. If one project runs short of money, the US is allowed to access funds for other projects. That's precisely what the US authorities are now doing: fighter jet money is flowing to Patriot.

VBS needs to inject more money

“From my perspective, this is very unsatisfactory,” says armaments chief Urs Loher. The diversion of funds from the F-35 to the Patriot is putting the Federal Department of Defence (VBS) under pressure. This is because it is creating gaps in the F-35 program. At the end of the year, the VBS had to prematurely transfer several tens of millions of Swiss francs to the US for the F-35 in order to fill these gaps. These early payments are exacerbating existing financial problems: The VBS currently lacks the funds to tackle already approved arms procurements. The US is likely to continue diverting funds to Patriot missiles this year as well. The payment freeze is ineffective. Defense chief Loher defends it nonetheless, arguing that it was a political signal. He also claims that the freeze has enabled the US to be more transparent with Switzerland about the years of delays.

"Trust in the USA is suffering"

YOU'RE ONLY NOW LEARNING THIS!?

The development has been poorly received in parliament. "It's infuriating when we halt payments and then the money is simply diverted," says SVP National Councillor and security policy expert Werner Salzmann. His FDP colleague Josef Dittli criticizes the Federal Department of Defence, Civil Protection and Sport (VBS), saying it was apparently unaware that this circumvention was possible. SP National Councillor Priska Seiler-Graf feels vindicated in her previous demand to halt the Patriot missile procurement. The SP wants to avoid arms purchases from the US as much as possible. SVP politician Salzmann also says his trust in the US has suffered: "More and more problems with the interpretation of the FMS contracts are emerging. We need to carefully consider whether we even want to conclude such contracts anymore."

Power relations are against Switzerland

The Swiss Federal Department of Defence (VBS) is continuing talks with the US. Armaments chief Loher wants to persuade the US to postpone payments for the Patriot missiles. After all, the delivery is also delayed. The outcome is uncertain, says Loher – but he also says: "The balance of power is quite clear."

[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 46 points 3 days ago

From my perspective, this is very unsatisfactory,

US confiscating their Patriots for use in the ME and then just pocketing the money anyway is a bit unsatisfactory, yes. Time to send more money for the F35 money black hole project!

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[-] AlHouthi4President@lemmy.ml 55 points 3 days ago

[Content warning for graohic images post-torture behind link]

Source

🇧🇭🔵 Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society: Bahraini Regime Kills Citizen Sayyed Muhammad al-Mousawi Under Torture in an Attempt to Extract Confessions Related to Iran

In the Name of Allah, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful

The Bahraini regime has killed Bahraini citizen Sayyed Muhammad Sayyed Mohsen al-Mousawi, from the Muharraq Governorate, days after his arrest, as a result of the brutal, deadly torture practiced by the Bahraini regime against innocent people in order to entrap them in fabricated and false cells and organizations.

Sayyed Muhammad al-Mousawi was arrested days ago at a security checkpoint on one of Bahrain's streets after being illegally detained on sectarian grounds while he was with some of his friends. After his news went silent for days, Sayyed Muhammad was handed over as a lifeless corpse, torn by brutal torture instruments, at the hands of the Bahraini regime represented by the Ministry of Interior—notorious for committing crimes against humanity over the past years.

Since the start of the American-"Israeli" war on Iran, the regime has arrested hundreds of citizens on higher orders, including women and children, and has subjected them to the most heinous forms of brutal torture. It has publicly shamed many of them by publishing their pictures and organizing unethical media campaigns attacking them and their honorable families, especially the women among them.

Al-Wefaq extends its deepest condolences and sympathies to the people of Bahrain and the family of the martyr for this great tragedy, declares its solidarity with his family and loved ones, and affirms that the Bahraini regime reveals its true nature built on killing, revenge, torture, and the practice of all forms of targeting against a defenseless, oppressed people living under the weight of injustice and persecution.

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[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 67 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

The US has begun laying minefields from the air near Iranian missile cities in Iran, in an attempt to complicate/deny movement around the missile cities, and cut them off from nearby supply lines and villages (people underground need food, water and medicine once stockpiles run low). This involves laying mines in the villages itself, and on the outskirts.

Photos have emerged of BLU-91/B anti tank/heavy vehicle mines in Kafari, Shiraz, Iran, about 2 kilometres away from the underground Shiraz missile city. These are magnetically activated airdropped mines that arm contact with the ground, and set off when the magnetic signature of a heavy vehicle is above them, blasting straight up. They may also go off if disturbed or moved.

This is part of the GATOR airdropped mining system, which makes use of cluster munitions dispensers which can be launched by US tactical fighter aircraft and strategic bombers.

The CBU-89/B is the most likely culprit, as it can be fitted with a Wind Corrected Munitions Dispenser (WCMD) tail kit, allowing for high altitude launch with INS guidance with minimal drift due to the launch aircraft's GPS updating it's position just before launch, a CEP (Circular Error Probable, also known as mean error radius) of 26m/86ft for the cluster munitions dispenser. The CBU-89/B becomes the CBU-104/B when fitted with a WCMD. This allows for a range of 15 miles when dropped from altitudes of 40 000ft, instead of having to fly directly over the target at very low altitudes without the WCMD. A single CBU-104B can be equipped with 72x BLU-91/B anti tank mines, and 22x BLU-92/B anti personel mines (not seen yet), with 4x tripwires each, very nasty, they explode horizontally. An F-15E can be equipped with up to 18x CBU-89/CBU-104, though a loadout of 10x is more realistic with two external fuel tanks taking up the pylons on the wings. This allows a single F-15E to realistically disperse close to 940 land mines per sortie with high altitude bombing. The CBU-89/104 is designed to disperse mines over an area of 200mx650m, to create a minefield of that size with a single bomb.

BLU-92/B:

The self-destruct feature of the mines can be set for 4 hours, 48 hours, or 15 days, and any that fail to self destruct should be disarmed after 40 days, due to the batteries running out of energy. However, this still leaves the potential of unexploded ordnance scattered around cities. Even a single percentage dud rate can lead to dozens of unexploded landmines. And cluster munitions aren't known for low dud rates.

If anyone here is in Iran and sees this, stop moving immediately, you are in the middle of a minefield, surrounded by dozens, potentially more landmines.

Trevor Ball Twitter thread, with article

Howard Altman article for Yahoo

[-] FortifiedAttack@hexbear.net 43 points 3 days ago

This is another reminder to take the tunnelpill, build tunnels all throughout the country.

Go full moleman.

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[-] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 41 points 3 days ago

Those look like the "explosive packages" they found in the city of Shiraz

https://t.me/presstv/181971

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[-] SickSemper@hexbear.net 29 points 3 days ago

Jesus Christ. That’s all they need, more uxo. There was a terrifying video of kids in Syria taking apart landmines and another of a kid throwing a rock and it blows up underneath him (kid lived). I dread the consequences of this

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 58 points 3 days ago

https://xcancel.com/RobertClark62/status/2037040880092156243

CENTCOM forces are looking for urgently delivered, transportable bunkers that can be delivered to King Hussein International Airport in Jordan -- asking for any available contractor who can deliver them. AFCENT is prioritizing a <30 day timeline, per new Sources Sought notice. "Vendors are requested to submit three potential delivery options reflecting estimated timelines of 3 days, 15 days, and 30 days." "The USG’s review of documentation priorities are delivery timeline first, followed by protection level of the bunker systems." -- 1st ETSG/TKO

Requirements for stuff like this are normally identified during the pre-war planning process. That this didn't happen against a widely known threat is yet another indicator of a truncated, half-ass planning process for EPIC FURY.

lol. lmao

[-] volcel_olive_oil@hexbear.net 35 points 3 days ago

what does transporting a bunker even look like

[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 60 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

https://xcancel.com/policytensor/status/2037308902665040292

Israel’s Channel 14 reports that Iranian officials believe ongoing “negotiations” may be an American intelligence effort aimed at gathering “precise information about leadership locations and decision-making centers.” The report adds that this concern has led Tehran to avoid electronic communications and instead rely on field intermediaries to manage sensitive contacts.

The idea of decapitation owes its origins in American strategic thought to nuclear strategy. Nuclear strategists first became alarmed at the prospect of a splendid first-strike not on your deterrent but your command and control, the destruction of which posed the risk that a second-strike could be neutralized by destroying the ability of the national command authority to communicate launch authority to launch crews in silos, SAC and submarines. With the precision-strike revolution in the 1980s, strategists began to think in terms of attacking the enemy’s command and control first and foremost as the best means of limiting damage. But this war plan raised a very thorny problem. The problem was that, given that the enemy could pre-delegate launch authority to commanders (as indeed we did with the undersea deterrent), if you decapitated the enemy’s leadership and command authority, there would be no one left to call off the damn ICBMs.

if only some fella had made a movie about this in the '60s... strangelove (although technically in that case there was a person with the authority, just without the means to actually successfully pass the message due to damage to the bomber plane's communication systems)

More precisely, a comprehensive attack on the enemy’s command structure made the problem of war termination almost impossible to solve. This is an important problem raised by the Israeli policy of decapitation. The Iranian response to this policy has been to pre-delegate launch authority to local commanders. This means that even if the decapitation were successful — a tall order — it will make the problem of war termination impossible to solve. On top of this, you have the total breakdown of trust. They won’t even meet with the Americans because they are afraid they will be killed in the encounter. That makes war termination extremely difficult.

[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 45 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

https://archive.ph/cE7D2

U.S. uses hundreds of Tomahawk missiles on Iran, alarming some at Pentagon

More than 850 have been fired in just four weeks, people familiar with the matter said, raising concerns about the weapon’s limited supply.

more

The U.S. military has fired more than 850 Tomahawk cruise missiles in four weeks of war with Iran, burning through the precision weapons at a rate that has alarmed some Pentagon officials and prompted internal discussions about how to make more available, said people familiar with the matter. The missiles, which can be launched from Navy surface warships and submarines, have been a staple of U.S. military attacks since they were first used in combat in 1991 during the Persian Gulf War. But only a few hundred are manufactured each year, meaning the global supply is limited. The Pentagon does not publicly disclose how many missiles are in its inventory at any one time. Tomahawks are prized in part because they can travel more than 1,000 miles, reducing the need to send American pilots into well-defended airspace. The heavy reliance on them in the Iran conflict will require urgent discussions about whether to relocate some from other parts of the world, including the Indo-Pacific, and a concerted long-term effort to build more, said several U.S. officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive military planning.

last month, Raytheon announced that they'll be increasing annual production to over 1k, but uh, we'll see, given that current production is like 250... and that it's a 7-year long agreement, so it may well not survive into the next administration

The dilemma has laid bare broader concerns in both the Pentagon and Congress about the Trump administration’s war in Iran, its shifting explanations for why the conflict is necessary, and the risks a shortage could pose to the United States as it balances the potential for future conflict in other parts of the world. It comes as the White House deliberates over a possible major escalation in Iran, to include the use of ground troops, while pursuing negotiations to end hostilities. The Pentagon has tracked the number of Tomahawks used with an increasing focus on what the burn rate will mean for not only for a sustained campaign against Iran but for future military operations as well, people familiar with the matter said. One official characterized the number of Tomahawks left in the Middle East as “alarmingly low,” while another said that without intervention, the Pentagon is closing in on “Winchester” — military slang meaning out of ammunition — for its supply of Tomahawk missiles in the Middle East. Sean Parnell, a Pentagon spokesman, did not directly address questions about the number of Tomahawk missiles expended or remaining in the Middle East and said the U.S. military “has everything it needs to execute any mission at the time and place of the President’s choosing and on any timeline.” He asserted that the news media is “biased and obsessed with portraying the world’s strongest military as weak,” and said that scrutiny of weapons employment to date in the war inaccurately suggests that the Defense Department has failed to provide U.S. personnel “every advantage to be successful” while attempting to “frighten and sow doubt in the minds of the American people.”

Modern Tomahawks have been in service since 2004 and allow U.S. forces to communicate with the missile via satellite. They can strike preprogrammed targets or locate adversaries on the fly through GPS. It also can loiter over a battlefield and has a camera on board capable of relaying battle-damage information to commanders. The most recent versions of the missile can cost as much as $3.6 million a piece and require up to two years to build, according to Navy documents. In recent years, they have been purchased in small batches, with just 57 included in last year’s defense budget. Many of the 850-plus expended Tomahawks were fired in the opening days of Operation Epic Fury, the Trump administration’s name for the war in Iran, people familiar with the matter said. They include at least one that struck in the vicinity of an elementary school in the Iranian city of Minab early in the operation. U.S. officials have since opened an investigation into the incident, which Iranian officials have said killed scores of children. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Adm. Charles “Brad” Cooper, who oversees U.S. operations in the Middle East as head of U.S. Central Command, have said that as U.S. and Israeli forces destroyed Iranian air defenses and other military capabilities early on, American pilots have been able to push inland and conduct airstrikes using munitions that the Pentagon has in greater abundance.

The U.S. military also has fired more than 1,000 air-defense interceptor missiles in response to Iranian counterattacks across the region, including from the Patriot and Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) systems, which are considered the world’s most advanced, two other officials familiar with the issue said. The inventory of those weapons also is limited and not publicly disclosed. The Tomahawk’s high burn rate means the Navy has needed to take the step of conducting resupply aboard at least some of the warships involved in the Iran operation. Each naval destroyer can carry dozens of the missiles, which are 20 feet long and about 3,500 pounds. The Navy typically does so in port, but has been developing the capability to do so at sea. MacKenzie Eaglen, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, said that before Operation Epic Fury began late last month, the Navy probably had between 4,000 and 4,500 Tomahawk missiles on hand. Others naval analysts have said the number could be much lower, perhaps closer to 3,000, following their extensive use in recent operations, including the Trump administration’s strikes last year in Iran, Yemen and Nigeria.

so, that's ≈19% to ≈28% of the stockpile gone

Mark Cancian, a senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said if the military has fired more than 800 Tomahawks against Iran, “that would be about a quarter of the total inventory and would leave a large gap for a conflict in the Western Pacific.” His think tank assesses that the Navy may have had as few as 3,100 Tomahawks on hand at the start of the war a month ago. “It would take several years to replenish,” Cancian said. The Navy has purchased almost 9,000 Tomahawks over the lifetime of the missile program, according to a CSIS assessment. Thousands of those are less advanced early variants that are now obsolete and retired, CSIS found. The missile is built by Raytheon with help from other manufacturers. The defense industry has capacity to produce about 600 missiles per year, said Ryan Brobst, deputy director of the Center on Military and Political Power at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.

maximum theoretical capacity, but seemingly never actually reached, at least for the modern variants - the US is only going to be procuring like 65 this year, and actually did an even smaller around 45 last year, and with a handful of foreign clients it maybe adds up to 250 (the Dutch have up to 163 missiles for the 2025-29 period, so that's ≈40 yearly; Australia has 200 over 2023-28, so another 40; and Japan has 200 (total of 400, but 200 of those are old Block IVs which I don't think are in production anymore, so the actual new ones should be just 200) over 3 years, so another ≈67)

Trump administration officials have adamantly disputed concerns that the Iran war will deplete key U.S. munitions. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said this month that the U.S. military “has more than enough munitions, ammo and weapons stockpiles to achieve the goals of Operation Epic Fury laid out by President Trump — and beyond.” Hegseth has asserted the same, telling reporters March 5 that, “we’ve got no shortage of munitions” and U.S. stockpiles would “allow us to sustain this campaign as long as we need to.” The administration nonetheless has convened meetings on the issue, inviting executives from numerous defense contractors, including Raytheon, to the White House. Trump said on social media afterward that the companies had agreed to “quadruple Production of the ‘Exquisite Class’ Weaponry.” A similar meeting is expected again in two months, the president wrote.

Well, 1000 is 250 quadrupled... so I guess this may well be a figure the Raytheon guys just gave to the credulous dipshits at the White House and they don't really intend on actually reaching them. Not sure how strict the actual "framework agreement" they've signed really is.

Hegseth personally has urged defense firms to speed delivery of key weapons, said one person familiar with the defense secretary’s conversations with industry executives. As The Washington Post first reported this month, the Pentagon is seeking more than $200 billion from Congress to fund the war in Iran, an enormous ask that has already run into resistance from lawmakers opposed to the conflict. Hegseth, when asked about that reporting, said last week that the final budget request “could move.” “It takes money to kill bad guys,” he told reporters at the Pentagon on March 19, saying the forthcoming ask of Congress is intended to ensure “we’re properly funded for what’s been done, for what we may have to do in the future [and] ensure that our ammunition is — everything’s refilled and not just refilled, but above and beyond.”

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[-] AlHouthi4President@lemmy.ml 48 points 3 days ago

Twitter for Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society, banned revolutionary political movement in Bahrain.

https://xcancel.com/AlWefaqEnglish

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[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 43 points 3 days ago

Markets are not doing great. Stocks down, bond yields up, crypto down. Japanese Yen/USD is approaching the magic 160 number. There is no automatic "Japan blows up here" number, but it is still an important milestone.

[-] SickSemper@hexbear.net 35 points 3 days ago

hahahahaha

average gas price is $6/gallon near me

[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 34 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Not a big deal. I just want Iran to win, AI and private debt to blow up and crypto to go to zero, in exchange we can increase the price of gas, worth it.

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[-] WalrusDragonOnABike@reddthat.com 28 points 3 days ago

WTI oil back to the highest its been since Monday.

[-] jack@hexbear.net 27 points 3 days ago

Brent is also only a few dollars off from its Monday peak. It will certainly reach new heights next week, especially when Trump does something really stupid after markets close today.

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 40 points 3 days ago

bleh whoopsie https://xcancel.com/WoodMackenzie/status/2037515052937290200

A major explosion and fire at Valero’s Port Arthur refinery has taken one of the largest U.S. refining facilities offline, removing approximately 415,000 barrels per day from supply amid heightened market volatility. Our North American Refinery Intelligence Service has released a new report analysing the incident, using infrared monitoring across 12 key processing units at the site. Together, these units represent a significant share of PADD 3 refining capacity. Combining aerial imagery captured within 24 hours of the event with detailed operational analysis, the report assesses the scale of the disruption. Key findings include damage to the diesel hydrotreater, impacts on surrounding infrastructure, and the operational status of major units across the facility. With geopolitical pressures already tightening global energy markets, this outage adds further uncertainty to refined product supply.

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 42 points 3 days ago

Heavy rains in Dubai cause serious flooding - Prensa Latina

Article

Dubai, March 27 (Prensa Latina) The United Arab Emirates woke up today to major flooding due to heavy rains that occurred early this morning, causing traffic disruptions on several avenues in Dubai.

According to authorities, in many places police and fire crews had to go out into the streets before dawn to rescue vehicles that were stranded on the avenues.

It was reported that in several districts, water covered intersections, service roads, and underpasses, leaving some drivers stranded and causing others to abandon their vehicles.

Meteorologists indicated on Friday that rain and storm activity could continue in some areas of the country, potentially affecting flights at Dubai International Airport.

Although they are uncommon, analysts point out that these atmospheric phenomena are increasing in frequency in the region, which has put drainage systems to the test.

The storms also affected the neighboring sultanate of Oman.

[-] jack@hexbear.net 33 points 3 days ago

the clouds are IRGC

[-] marxisthayaca@hexbear.net 32 points 3 days ago

Allah is Hamas

[-] supafuzz@hexbear.net 32 points 3 days ago

Allah maybe telling y'all to rethink some things

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 39 points 3 days ago

Díaz-Canel thanks Mexico and Sheinbaum for their support of Cuba - Prensa Latina

Article

Mexico City, March 27 (Prensa Latina) Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel expressed his admiration and gratitude towards Mexico and President Claudia Sheinbaum for their support of the Caribbean nation, in an interview published today by the newspaper La Jornada.

“To the Mexican people, to the Mexican government, all our admiration, respect, affection, and commitment. And in particular to Claudia, the Mexican president who has demonstrated firmness of conviction, firmness of principles, courage, and gallantry,” he emphasized.

The president asserted that this North American nation and its dignitary "have no idea how many Cubans would like to personally thank" the head of the Executive Branch for everything she has done for Cuba in these times.

“We have tremendous respect and admiration for her and her people. Thank you, Mexico! A thousand times thank you for always standing by Cuba’s side in our nation’s most difficult moments,” he said.

He emphasized that this country “is the sister land that has always stood by Cuba, in good times and bad,” and recalled that in the 1960s, when the whole world turned its back on the island due to pressure from the United States, “Mexico stood firm.”

“There is a very important fact. When Martí lived in Mexico, at only 22 years old, he presented to the Mexican public a work called Love is Repaid with Love. I believe that there, in that phrase, in the title of that work, lies the essence of our close relationship,” he stated.

He highlighted the call by La Jornada and former President Andrés Manuel López Obrador to support Cuba, the way in which governors and political figures have donated part of their monthly salary, and the mobilization of the Mexican people to collect and send aid to the Caribbean nation.

Díaz-Canel mentioned other international initiatives, such as the Our America Convoy, and stressed that Cuba is not isolated, nor alone.

For more than six decades, Washington has imposed an economic, commercial and financial blockade on the island, which was tightened last January through an executive order signed by the US president, Donald Trump.

The lack of access to fuel resulting from this worsening affects sensitive areas such as electricity generation, the operation of hospitals, food production and distribution, and water pumping in the Caribbean country.

[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 93 points 3 days ago

Mexican Navy activates EMERGENCY PROTOCOL to locate two sailboats carrying aid to Cuba after losing contact in the Caribbean

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 87 points 3 days ago

Brazil is sending a second ship with aid to Cuba.

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[-] BattleshipPokemon@hexbear.net 44 points 3 days ago

Actually watching the weird white house videos people were freaking tf out about and heaving a sigh of relief that "ok it's launching soon" is in NFT tone of voice and not nuke tone

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[-] Kopfrkingl@hexbear.net 39 points 3 days ago

Balendra Shah sworn in as prime minister [of Nepal]

And in more alarming but inevitable news:

[Newly appointed Finance Minister Dr. Swarnim Wagle] announced that the government would move ahead with the process of abolishing the Revenue Investigation Department. [He] stressed private-sector friendly policies, simplification of procedures and facilitation of large development projects through new legislation and amendments to existing laws. ... he has previously served in senior roles at the World Bank, UNDP and Nepal's National Planning Commission.

Source

[-] joaomarrom@hexbear.net 40 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

A rapper and structural engineer, Shah shot to fame after he pulled off an upset in the 2022 local elections as an independent

my name is shah and I'm here to say

our private sector gonna have a nice day

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[-] demeritum@lemmygrad.ml 28 points 3 days ago

Welcome back 90s eastern europe

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 50 points 3 days ago

https://xcancel.com/policytensor/status/2037120121915740514

As shown by this week’s strikes on a U.S. helicopter and radar with optic-wire FPV drones, a technology pioneered by Russia in 2024, Iran has carefully studied how warfare was transformed on the battlefields of Ukraine. Have American troops also drawn the right lessons? My analysis.

Senior U.S. and North Atlantic Treaty Organization commanders long discounted the relevance of the drone revolution in Ukraine, arguing that the Western militaries would prosecute a different kind of war because of their ability to suppress the enemy with overwhelming air power and precision strikes. “There is still this wall of arrogance, including at the top of NATO, because we have much more advanced systems,” said Fabrice Pothier, chief executive of Rasmussen Global, a geopolitical advisory firm, and NATO’s former director of policy planning. “But in fact what you want to do is to be much more Ukrainian. What is happening with Ukraine, and with how Iran is dealing with the air campaign against them, is a wake-up call.” The U.S. and Israeli air campaign against Iran that began Feb. 28 has so far failed to stop missile and drone barrages against the Persian Gulf states or Israel, or to reopen to free navigation the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of the world’s oil used to pass. In the war between Russia and Ukraine, FPV drones account for most of the battlefield casualties, with a drone “kill zone” extending more than 20 miles on each side of the line of contact. Many, if not most, of these drones are now piloted with a fiber-optic wire. Some models can spool this wire as far as 30 miles, which is about the breadth of the Strait of Hormuz at its narrowest point.

These drone crews could be suppressed using the U.S. military’s superiority in longer-range weapons and in intelligence, reconnaissance and surveillance systems, said Michael Knights, head of research at Horizon Engage, a strategic-advisory firm in New York. “If we are going to do a Hormuz operation, we are going to have very intense cover over Hormuz. If you have the world’s most capable electronic-warfare military focusing on an area of 30 miles by 30 miles, it is probably a lot more difficult to make effective use of FPV drones.” Ukrainians aren’t so sure. “No armed forces are prepared for this challenge, not the Americans and not the Europeans,” said Pavlo Klimkin, a former Ukrainian foreign minister. “Not technically, not mentally and not experiencewise.”

It’s not just cheap attritable drones. Iran is a much more advanced missile power than the United States. This is an embarrassment. We’re years away from catching up in terminal maneuvering and hypersonic missiles. Let’s not over learn the drone war lesson. Against a bigger, more advanced precision-strike power, drones can be attrited with good air defenses. We have no counter to the missile threat posed by Russia and China. This is more important for defense.

and genuinely one of the most "Hitler-in-the-Fuhrerbunker" comments I've ever seen, https://xcancel.com/NGC_1084/status/2037127463013064858

If that were true, Iranian missiles would have destroyed US/ISR air bases and completely disrupted their operations

DID YOU MISS LITERALLY THE ENTIRE WAR UP UNTIL NOW!?

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[-] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 88 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Zionist military doctrine is to proclaim that you're officially annexing everything in Lebanon up to the Litani, and then gather 20 tanks together, each manned by teams of 19 year old lieutenants whose only military experience has been shooting infants in the Gaza Strip, down the most ambushable valley within 500 miles. then, when they lose half their tanks in an ambush, they send an extraction team after those guys and those guys get ambushed too. then they drop the conventional equivalent of half a Hiroshima bomb onto hills that have been evacuated for an hour already and repeat this process a dozen times without learning anything, until they retreat and declare that their goals have been fully and masterfully achieved and that Hezbollah has been soundly defeated

official casualties for the entire invasion: 4 dead, 11 injured

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[-] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 78 points 3 days ago

Severe explosions have occurred at a US military base in Saudi Arabia, according to Iran’s semi-official Tasnim news agency. - The Guardian update

The agency, linked to the Revolutionary Guards, said media reports indicated drone attacks on the Sultan Amir base in eastern Saudi Arabia.

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[-] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 109 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

https://x.com/i/status/2037207892890206283

https://xcancel.com/i/status/2037207892890206283

I also think it would be a good idea to concentrate all of the Iranian diaspora willing to fight on one of the small islands off Iran's coast that all happen to be within Iranian missile range.

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 45 points 3 days ago

those Russian ports that got hit and supposedly led to 40% of their oil exports going down? well, the biggest one is back in action after a couple of days https://archive.ph/y8rTO

Key Russian Oil Port Resumes Loading Amid Attempt to Divert Flow

Russia’s top oil port in the Baltic Sea resumed loading days after it came under attack from Ukrainian drones, although the company that pipes crude there said it is trying to divert barrels elsewhere because of the incidents. The Minerva Georgia, a Suezmax-class vessel capable of hauling about 1 million barrels of crude, berthed on Wednesday, shipping information seen by Bloomberg shows. Another, the Anlan, is scheduled to depart Thursday having been there for several days.

...

never trust Ukrainian claims about how they've totally taken out 5000% of Russia's oil capacity and the poor Russian gas station economy is done for this time, trust us! they've done this several times already

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 123 points 3 days ago

https://xcancel.com/clashreport/status/2037215388753174559

BIG: In a leaked cabinet recording, Israeli Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir warned that the IDF is nearing a breaking point after prolonged conflict. “I am raising ten red flags,” Zamir told ministers, stressing the urgent need for new laws on conscription, reserves, and extended service. “The reserves will not be able to hold out under these dramatic circumstances,” he added, warning that “it won’t be long before the IDF is no longer fit for even routine security missions.” Source: N12

nicholson-yes

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[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 102 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

DropsiteNews;

Israel’s Channel 14 reports that Iranian officials believe ongoing “negotiations” may be an American intelligence effort aimed at gathering “precise information about leadership locations and decision-making centers.”

The report adds that this concern has led Tehran to avoid electronic communications and instead rely on field intermediaries to manage sensitive contacts.

Iran's Fars News Agency is reporting that should America undertake a military operation to re-open the Strait of Hormuz, that the UAE's Barakah nuclear power plant, the Jebel Ali desalination plant, and the MBR Solar Park, among other locations, will be targeted by Iran.

https://x.com/Seamus_Malek/status/2037286554582843805

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[-] TheModerateTankie@hexbear.net 50 points 3 days ago

possadist-ufo posadist-nuke posadas nuke strangelove-wow hexbear-posadist

Trump: "They were planning to have a nuclear weapon if we didn't hit them with the nuke-- with the B2 bombers."

Using nukes out of desperation while saying we had to "use nukes to prevent nukes" would be the most American thing Trump can do.

[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 78 points 3 days ago

Israeli Military Chief warns the IDF could soon "collapse" if there is no solution to its manpower shortages, Jerusalem Post reports.

U.S. considers deploying up to 10,000 additional troops to Middle East

The Pentagon is weighing a plan to send as many as 10,000 more ground troops to the region, according to The Wall Street Journal, with Fox News reporting similar details citing a senior defense official.

Maybe the current troops and the new troops that are considered are really going in there to evacuate the US soldiers from the region and help invade Lebanon.

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[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 35 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Iran's Fars News Agency: The US-Israeli attack on a steel factory in Isfahan targeted a power plant and a steel production line

(Edit)

US-Zionist regimes just bombed majors Steel Companies in Isfahan & Khuzestan

The attack on Mobarakeh Steel Co. involved a total of 5 missiles, and part of the production facilities and energy complex of Mobarakeh Steel Company was hit by the enemy.

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[-] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 50 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

I wanted to know how urea is made. Eventually I found a very good ~1 minute explanation. The link skips the first 46 seconds which is company PR. https://youtu.be/6BFs-wZ-lAY?t=46 The explanation is from ~0:46 to ~1:46. I didn't watch after 1:46. It seems to be more PR.

According to one shipping services company, the Signal Group, 20 percent of the world’s fertiliser originates in the Gulf, while 46 percent of global urea supply comes from the Gulf.

https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/3/18/not-just-energy-how-the-iran-war-could-trigger-a-global-food-crisis

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this post was submitted on 22 Mar 2026
167 points (99.4% liked)

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