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Almost 80% of the respondents, all from the authoritative Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), foresee at least 2.5C of global heating above preindustrial levels, while almost half anticipate at least 3C (5.4F). Only 6% thought the internationally agreed 1.5C (2.7F) limit will be met.

“I think we are headed for major societal disruption within the next five years,” said Gretta Pecl, at the University of Tasmania. “[Authorities] will be overwhelmed by extreme event after extreme event, food production will be disrupted. I could not feel greater despair over the future.”

"The world’s response to date is reprehensible – we live in an age of fools.”

Lisa Schipper, at University of Bonn in Germany, said: “My only source of hope is the fact that, as an educator, I can see the next generation being so smart and understanding the politics.”

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[-] marxisthayaca@hexbear.net 45 points 6 months ago

French Oil execs have been caught on a hot mic talking about internal expectations of 3°C

[-] fckreddit@lemmy.ml 31 points 6 months ago

Great, we are cooked. We handed reins of our worlds directly or indirectly to some of the greediest people imaginable and we will pay the price. It will naturally start from the poorest, but no one will be immune. Not even the said greedy people. We are truly and utterly cooked.

[-] SacredExcrement@hexbear.net 26 points 6 months ago

When the last tree is cut down, the last fish eaten, and the last stream poisoned, they will realize that you cannot eat money

[-] Flaps@hexbear.net 12 points 6 months ago
[-] BynarsAreOk@hexbear.net 41 points 6 months ago

Lisa Schipper, at University of Bonn in Germany, said: “My only source of hope is the fact that, as an educator, I can see the next generation being so smart and understanding the politics.”

This weapons grade copium is enough to give every global south nation their own nuclear weapons program.

[-] itappearsthat@hexbear.net 28 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

They will be able to voooooooote for their leaders who all hail from the uh, generation who thinks none of this is real

I remember all the articles 15 years ago about how millenials are killing car ownership. Now all the cishet white millenials I went to college with turned out to be center-right at best and perfectly reproduced the boomer lifestyle.

[-] barrbaric@hexbear.net 10 points 6 months ago

It's all about material conditions. If cost of living continues to spike (and why wouldn't it?), younger people will generally get more radicalized.

Unfortunately they're going to radicalize towards fascism because there's a multi-billion dollar propaganda network pushing it.

[-] TraschcanOfIdeology@hexbear.net 17 points 6 months ago

Not to mention that all of these "good politics" are contingent on global North chauvinism. Ask the average German student with good politics what they think about demographic growth or industrialization in the Global South and the hitler-detector will go off the charts.

[-] asg101@hexbear.net 35 points 6 months ago

Finally, a little more honesty. Anyone who understands the dynamics knew 1.5C was a joke.

[-] egg1918@hexbear.net 32 points 6 months ago

I was under the impression that 1.5C would be the best case scenario if we somehow stopped emitting carbon overnight. We really are fucked aren't we?

[-] barrbaric@hexbear.net 22 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

1.5C was optimistically possible if the entire planet had pivoted to International Climate Stalinism immediately after the report was published.

[-] CommunistBear@hexbear.net 11 points 6 months ago

tfw no climate Stalin sadness-abysmal

[-] Frank@hexbear.net 22 points 6 months ago

More like if we stopped emitting carbon 10-15 years ago. We're extremely fucked. But, on the other hand, this is going to put immense pressure on the world"s empires so maybe there's opportunity too.

[-] marxisthayaca@hexbear.net 12 points 6 months ago

I was under the impression that 1.5C would be the best case scenario if we somehow stopped emitting carbon overnight. We really are fucked aren't we?

That's been the way I've understood it; because as it stands the greenhouse being produced this year has not started to take effect yet.

[-] Adkml@hexbear.net 13 points 6 months ago

Most scientists have said for years that we didn't have a hope of staying under 1.5 just that that's what we would have to do to not have massive negative repurcussions.

[-] SexUnderSocialism@hexbear.net 33 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

Anyone who still denies any of this shit at this point deserves to be beaten to death with a fucking stick.

[-] Skeleton_Erisma@hexbear.net 17 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

Even my own father who's questioned climate change when I was a child has finally opened his eyes.

Microplatics, Air pollution, Car centrism, Oil executives and the political ghouls that prop them up

He has extremely scathing hatred for all of that

[-] WeedReference420@hexbear.net 30 points 6 months ago

Taking a break from thinking about the ongoing genocide to think about how society will probably collapse within a few years

[-] itappearsthat@hexbear.net 18 points 6 months ago

It is a lot. Each of these issues can easily consume your entire capacity for organizing a thousand times over.

[-] WeedReference420@hexbear.net 17 points 6 months ago

Yeah, I've done some work in organising for climate related stuff in the past so I've been exposed to how bad it is before but reading experts confirming it never gets any easier

[-] PoisonIvy@lemmygrad.ml 3 points 6 months ago

The second fifteen of the day to think about the ongoing pandemic amid all of this that has killed upwards of tens of millions and still climbing! Boy do I love having been born

[-] Sleve_McDichael@hexbear.net 28 points 6 months ago

The Arab Spring displaced about a million people and it basically drove Europe to New Hitlerism wrt immigration, imagine what will happen as climate change displaces hundreds of millions of people in the coming decades

[-] CommunistBear@hexbear.net 17 points 6 months ago

The mask will fully come off and their borders will just be killing fields.

[-] barrbaric@hexbear.net 11 points 6 months ago

IIRC this has been the US military's plan on how to deal with climate change for over a decade.

[-] Gosplan14_the_Third@hexbear.net 24 points 6 months ago

“My only source of hope is the fact that, as an educator, I can see the next generation being so smart and understanding the politics.”

They probably said the same thing in 2000. Didn't help much. Can't do environmentalism on a system of grow or die - unless you're okay with it being very half-assed and mostly symbolic.

[-] Sleve_McDichael@hexbear.net 13 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

If you read any current media article about zoomers it’s just a copy and paste from the exact same articles about millennials from 15 years ago

[-] Adkml@hexbear.net 20 points 6 months ago

The world’s response to date is reprehensible – we live in an age of fools.

I didn't think you could sum up my political beliefs in one sentence.

[-] CommunistBear@hexbear.net 7 points 6 months ago

We don't even have the age of monsters. We have fools who put on a monster consume but can't help but keep tripping on the slightly too big feet

[-] Adkml@hexbear.net 7 points 6 months ago

They might be cartoonishly incompetent but that isn't preventing them from directly or indirectly killing millions.

[-] ElChapoDeChapo@hexbear.net 18 points 6 months ago

Not to spoil the most recent chapter of One Piece but can we get a Dr. Vegapunk emoji?

Seems appropriate here

[-] NeelixBiederman@hexbear.net 18 points 6 months ago

Seeing shit like this and then having conversations about "what kind of work should we have done on the house" seems so trivial. Knowing that we're all going to keep trudging along to our stupid jobs and our poison treats while we boil like frogs in a pot

Okay let's start a betting pool: what year will America have genuine crop failures, food shortages, and famine? Hopefully during an election year. I'll say: 2030

[-] itappearsthat@hexbear.net 10 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

It is tempting to not want to care about mundane day-to-day activities when reading news like this but we should not give in to the spectacular. It will be a long slow grind of things getting better in some ways, worse in others, punctuated by moments of horror. Maybe you will be directly affected, maybe you will not. I think there's a tendency on this site toward believing in some upcoming total collapse. Coming from a religious background, humans honestly seem hardwired to desire or cling to this belief on some level. You probably will not die in a climate disaster. Instead you will almost certainly die in 40-60 years of some mundane reason, marked only by those who know you, and the events that led to your death not blasted around the world as headline news. Humans are incredibly resilient. This is not to say your quality of life will be good. But it can be survivable.

[-] marxisthayaca@hexbear.net 7 points 6 months ago

Almost every single collapse short of a nuclear holocaust has been a slow grinding toward decentralization, scarcity, and then violent restructuring into a given centralized order. The world has perfectly hospitable temperatures a hundred years ago and famine plagued the globe. Not because of droughts or weather shocks but because distribution was and is dominated by a violent profit-seeking process.

Right now, and probably for at least another 30 years, we produce enough food to feed just about everyone in the world, some countries even look to develop shock-resistant supplies of food for their internal citizenry.

To some extent the upcoming collapse of climate is unprecedented, but it will continue to be unevenly distributed. And it very well could be, we can survive if we adopted communism, and managed distribution and enacted economic degrowth.

[-] barrbaric@hexbear.net 9 points 6 months ago

Crop failures: 2022

[-] Kuori@hexbear.net 17 points 6 months ago

we either kill all of these monsters now or we watch the world end

[-] MayoPete@hexbear.net 12 points 6 months ago

Sorry, gotta go to my next meeting at my white-collar cubicle job.

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[-] novibe@lemmy.ml 12 points 6 months ago

I don’t want to be overly negative or pessimistic, but I really feel even if we had a global revolution right now and started doing our real best, we’re still very fucked. So it’s basically either we kill these monsters and watch the world die a little less hard, or we don’t and we watch it collapse at the speed of light.

[-] Kuori@hexbear.net 3 points 6 months ago

no you're absolutely right, we are super fucked. but the degree matters. every little bit of fucked we can avert is worth the effort

[-] egg1918@hexbear.net 17 points 6 months ago
[-] SacredExcrement@hexbear.net 15 points 6 months ago
[-] Frank@hexbear.net 14 points 6 months ago

3c? I am disgusted by their optimism.

[-] peppersky@hexbear.net 13 points 6 months ago

Yeah this is cool I am totally not losing my mind over here

[-] coeliacmccarthy@hexbear.net 11 points 6 months ago
[-] Blottergrass@hexbear.net 8 points 6 months ago

AOC herself openly admitted we have until 2030 to course correct so I look forward to decades of her political career backtracking that statement for the sake of le optimism and moving forward (continuing to have a lucrative political career).

[-] Ocommie63@lemmygrad.ml 6 points 6 months ago

One thing I dont get is the point of it, of doomerism that is. While it is natural to feel overwhelmed and powerless, it does us no good to simply comment about how we’re going to be doomed forever and we’re all going to become extinct. In fact I would say that dooming about this topic does more harm than good, in that is stifles revolutionary praxis. Let me put it this way, if you believe really, truly believe that we, humanity, are doomed and that all will soon be lost, then the bourgeoisie, the ultimate enemy of humanity, have already won. Even of all becomes lost we cannot give up now, nor ever. We must continue to struggle no matter what, even if it seems hopeless, we must fight, organize, and keep pushing. If the people of the revolutions of the past got caught up in doomerism and pessimism, there would never have been a soviet union, no PRC, no Cuba, no DPRK, Palestine would have been crushed already if people gave into doomerism. If people stoped struggling there would be zero good things in the world. So even if the world seems bleak and hopeless now, even if it seems like all is lost, the worst thing to do is to throw up your hands and say “were fucked” “Its so over” “The world will end” that will guarantee that all is lost, instead this should steel our resolve to escalate and intensify and eventually win the struggle against the bourgeoisie across the world.

[-] itappearsthat@hexbear.net 5 points 6 months ago

I agree and my intention in posting this wasn't really to stoke "it's so over" sentiments which I realize I did a bad job on. I like Lenin's quote that we must be as radical as reality itself, and this is reality.

[-] asg101@hexbear.net 5 points 6 months ago

I know we are fucked, but I still want any survivors to know/remember who fucked us. Add ecocide to the list of crimes they should be sent to the guillotines for.

“The Earth is not dying, it is being killed, and those who are killing it have names and addresses.”

~Utah Phillips

[-] ReadFanon@hexbear.net 5 points 6 months ago

I'm not going to say exactly when but I had an existential crisis and a mental breakdown when I fully grasped the eco-socio-political reality of climate change and how we would respond, what that would achieve, and the fact that one way of addressing climate change would likely have a domino effect of negative consequences that would impact the environment negatively in other ways.

One simple example of this would be heatwaves causing people to use more air-conditioning and personal transport, driving up energy consumption and heat generated locally. A more complex example would be crop failures leading to more intensive agricultural efforts elsewhere and reliance upon the seas for food, leading to hastening the environmental collapse in those domains. A global example would be the pinball effect of destablisation of countries, the disruption to supply chains, the destabilisation of nearby countries, thus impeding global efforts for cooperation and climate change mitigation; there is no environmental policy in a state which has collapsed.

This happened a long time ago now, not like "before Greta Thunberg was speaking" but more like "before Greta Thunberg was speaking", and I've never truly recovered from it.

[-] itappearsthat@hexbear.net 6 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

Sometimes I do sit there and be like man, we really spent a hundred years building a machine to destroy the world

I read Half Earth Socialism and while it was excellent, it was staggering in its frank account of how much society would have to change to take climate change seriously while also not killing 85% of all wildlife species on Earth by constraining land use. We're talking 100% mandatory veganism, 2000-watt society (honestly more like 1500 watts while US is currently at 12,000), 100% home electrification, literally zero airplane travel and very little car travel. The transformation our culture would have to go through would make the instability of China's cultural revolution look like nothing.

[-] CoolerOpposide@hexbear.net 3 points 6 months ago

God please don’t let it be barbarism

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this post was submitted on 08 May 2024
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Earth

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